Financial Spreads

A few weeks ago Thersea May's Conservative party was the clear favourite to win the election.At that point, we would have expected little more than a relief rally on 9 June, i.e. when the election...

Our Labour seats spread betting market was 148 - 152 on 5 May when the Labour party took a hammering at the local elections The Labour party market is now 50 seats higher at 199 - 203 seats Jeremy...

The Lib Dem's collapse is the kind you see when a company issues a second profit warning On 25 April, Lib Dems were forecast to get 30 seats Before yesterday's TV debate our quote dropped to 16...

Tories Now on Target to Beat 1983 Margaret Thatcher Landslide The results of the local results are still coming out but the Conservative party's impressive early gains are moving our UK election...

Investors should be aware of the big signposted market moving events like the non-farm payrolls, Central Bank announcements and elections.However, as was saw in the 18 month run up to the US election,...

- As expected, the dollar was quickly sold when Trump was in the ascendency on election night - The speed of the rebound was unexpected - The dollar recovered in a somewhat braggadocious manner -...

US Election Trading GuideVolatility Warning - Caution Needed The VIX (volatility index) has been hitting its highest levels since the UK referendum and investors planning to trade the US election...

- Hillary Clinton is cleared by the FBI - The main question for Clinton is whether she can quickly wipe the email story from voters' memories - In early trading there is a discrepancy between the...

When you're trading it's often not about what the markets should do but what all the other market participants will do.Hedge funds seem to be taking an interesting position ahead of the US...

- The odds on Trump continue to shorten - There is a 30% chance of Trump becoming Commander-in-Chief - Clinton is unable to shift the story to Trump's many short-comings - There could be a quick 3-5%...

- Hillary Clinton's emails are back in focus- When the story broke on Friday, the dollar, Dow Jones and S&P 500 all saw brisk sell offs- The markets have already recovered- The bookmarkers are...

- The US S&P 500 index is showing a classic triangle pattern (see chart below) - The index should see a decisive break higher or lower - It looks like the break could be caused by (or waiting for)...

Looking at the markets and the US election:- The markets are far too complacent - There's a 20% chance that Trump will win - If Trump wins there could easily be a double shock to the system: 1)...