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USD: Cautious Powell may give some help to the dollar The latest batch of US data has not firmly argued in favour of a 50bp Federal Reserve rate cut in September, and most FOMC members have also...
The US dollar has been unable to regain the upper hand against the Japanese yen since the US data started to show signs of weakness back in early July. USD/JPY remains over 10% lower from the highs...
Credit spreads remained steady yesterday, but there were notable movements elsewhere. The one-month implied correlation index, which gauges how stocks might move together, increased. At the same...
We discussed the prospect of a low on the Japanese Yen currency several weeks ago. You can see the original chart below. The Japanese Yen did rally off important price support and many assets...
I expect volatility to increase this week, particularly with VIX options expiring on Wednesday. The current VIX option positions suggest that the VIX may remain around the 15 level, which means the...
The round trip in stocks so far this month was perhaps best described by my friend Peter. As measured by the VIX Index, we just witnessed the most extreme stock market swing on record. To some...
In the upcoming week, major currency pairs like GBP/USD, EUR/USD, and USD/JPY could experience significant dollar-driven moves despite a lighter economic calendar. With rising US unemployment and...
Stocks kept rising because retail sales and jobless claims data were better than expected. This is the second week in a row that stocks have jumped after a good jobless claims report. I’m not sure if...
Stocks were mostly flat to slightly up yesterday, with the S&P 500 getting a boost in the last 10 minutes due to a big closing imbalance. Other than that, it was a pretty quiet day. The CPI...
Stocks finished the day higher yesterday after a weaker-than-expected PPI report. Although rates fell, it didn’t result in a significant yield curve steepening, and the dollar was only slightly...
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