Get 40% Off
🤯 This Tech Portfolio is up 29% YTD! Join Now to Get April’s Top PicksGet The Picks – Just 99 USD

Weak Bounce In Yen Despite Higher Inflation

Published 24/08/2018, 11:22
Updated 31/08/2022, 17:00

Japanese inflation numbers continue to disappoint, rendering the Bank of Japan’s 2% inflation target by 2021 less likely. July’s nominal consumer prices increased by 0.90% (prior: 0.70%) amid increasing fresh food and fuel prices, but core figures suggest a flattening of the measure, both given at +0.80% (ex. food) and +0.30% (ex. food and energy): almost unchanged since the beginning of the year (+/- 0.2 range bound).

The likelihood of the BoJ adjusting its inflation forecast downward is becoming certain.

The recent decision to allow a wider fluctuation of its 10-Year government bond yield will cause further yen appreciation, which is expected to reduce inflation. The government’s decision to reduce mobile wireless fees by 40%, a business contributing 0.90% of core CPI expansion, could subdue consumption. Following the announcement on Tuesday, KDDI (T:9433), Docomo, (T:9437), Rakuten (T:4755) and Softbank (T:9984) lost -5.22%, -4%, -3.59% and -1.63% respectively.

Currently trading at 111.39, USD/JPY is expected to bounce back, heading along 111.50 in the short-term.

Disclaimer: While every effort has been made to ensure that the datat quoted and used for the research behind this document is reliable, there is no guarantee that it is correct, and Swissquote Bank and its subsidiaries can accept no liability whatsoever in respect of any errors or omissions, or regarding the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. This document does not constitute a recommendation o sell and/or buy any financial products and is not to be considered as a solicitation and/or an offer to enter into any transaction. This document is a piece of economic research and is not intended to constitute investment advice, nor to solicit dealing in securities or in any other kind of investment.

Although every investment involves some degree of risk, the risk of loss trading off-exchange forex contracts can be substantial. Therefore if you are considering trading in this market, you should be aware of the risks associated with this product so you can make informed decisions prior to investing. The material presented here in not to be construed as trading advice or strategy. Swissquote Bank makes a strong effort to use reliable, expansive information, but we make no representation that it is accurate or complete. In addition, we have no obligation to notify you when opinions or data in this material change. Any prices stated in this report are for information purposes only and do not represent valuations for individual securities or other instruments."

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.