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Is A BP Bounce Back On The Cards?

Published 05/02/2018, 11:15
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The oil giant had a rather tempestuous 2017. Things were not looking good early in the year, with the stock falling from £5.10 at the start of January to a range of £4.40 and £4.70 between February and late September. Yet things really picked up in the final few months of 2017, with BP hitting £5.25 in November and December.

BP PLC

It initially kept climbing in 2018, reaching a 7 and a half year high of £5.36 in mid-January, only to sharply pull back as the FTSE lost its momentum. BP PLC now sits at a current trading price, and 4 month low, of £4.87.

The firm’s third quarter figures at the end of October played a large part in the stocks strong end of 2017 performance. There BP reported a far better than forecast underlying replacement cost profit of $1.87 billion, basically double the $933 million managed for the same period the year previous, while announcing that its new break-even oil price is $49 per barrel. It also announced it would recommence share buybacks from the next quarter, becoming the first oil company to do so since the commodity’s drop in price in 2014.

In terms of Tuesday’s results, with the average oil price per barrel at $58, analysts are expecting BP to post net profit of $5.4 billion for 2017. However, that number might be overshadowed by the previously announced $1.7 billion Deepwater Horizon fine, and the one-off $1.5 billion charge related to Trump’s tax reforms in the US. Investors will also be on the lookout for news of the share buyback promised back in October.

BP PLC (LON:BP) has a consensus rating of ‘Hold’ alongside an average target price of £5.38.

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