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Diminished Risk-Off Sent Gold And Silver Lower

Published 19/09/2017, 05:29
USD/JPY
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XAU/USD
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XAG/USD
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US500
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DX
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GC
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SI
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Gold

“Everything has its limit - iron ore cannot be educated into gold.”

Overall Sentiment

  • There is little sign of de-escalation on the Korean peninsula

Speculative funds positioning

  • Short-covering action may have run its course but gross longs are starting to look a tad overstretched

Bullish perspective

  • Mild pullback and resilient price action suggest that bulls are in control

Bearish perspective

  • Put in a rather bearish weekly candle
  • Could this be the start of another leg lower to test key technical support

Conclusion –There is profit taking ahead of US FOMC meeting but market participants expect little fireworks

XAU/USD

XAUUSD Weekly Chart

Silver

“If I have cash and I can't figure a way to put it into real estate or my business, I hold it in gold and silver.”

Overall Sentiment

  • Investors reduced haven demand somewhat last week – dollar/yen giving early sign of diminished need for flight to safety

Speculative funds positioning

  • Gross long are getting bolder as they increased their bullish exposure for the third week running
  • CFTC speculators continue to reduce their bearish exposure – should underpin silver prices

Bullish perspective

  • It has successfully broken above the weekly downtrend line – that is bullish

Bearish perspective

The white metal put in a rather bearish weekly candle – follow up selling has materialised

Conclusion – Although it started to look bearish, we continue to see silver consolidating first from recent gains before testing higher

XAG/USD

XAGUSD Weekly Chart

Market moving events this week

  • European market focuses on German election
  • Expect volatile price action ahead of US FOMC
  • Dollar index has recovered somewhat – CFTC managed money indicate unwinding in process
  • BoE latest to indicate that stronger inflation data encouraged the need to raise interest rates
  • ECB to follow perhaps before end of the year

S&P 500

SPX500 Chart

US Dollar Index

US Dollar

Disclaimer: This material is produced solely by TheBullionTimes and with the best intention of informing readers about the latest outlook on the precious metals industry. Any material in this content must not be reproduced without the consent and any indication are not trading signals as such.

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