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FTSE Higher But Trade Tensions Continue To Simmer

Published 21/06/2018, 09:57

The FTSE and European markets started the day mostly higher but the positive tone is masking growing concerns over the escalation of US-China trade tensions.

Now all major industries are trying to assess how badly they could end up being hurt by the introduction of import restrictions and tariffs particularly the likes of technology giants like Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN) and Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) for whom China sales represent a large proportion of their total revenue.

In London, the pressure on mining and metals stocks has temporarily decreased as the focus switches to sterling and the Bank of England.

BoE seen keep rates flat, for now

The Bank of England is back in the limelight today and is widely expected to keep rates unchanged given that the recent set of economic indicators has been mixed and also given that the Brexit uncertainty is continuing to prevent any meaningful economic recovery. Having pulled back from raising rates in May, the question now is will the Bank opt to increase rates in August or will it postpone the decision for later this year.

The anticipation is weighing on the pound, weakening the currency against the dollar 0.15% and against the euro 0.04%

Oh, Vienna

As the Vienna meeting of oil producing countries draws closer expectations that OPEC members will agree on further increases of oil production is keeping oil prices under pressure. Russia, though not an OPEC member, has already started pumping more oil as per an agreement with Saudi Arabia, the largest of the OPEC countries.

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Iran has also indicated that it is in favour of a small increase in output ahead of the OPEC meeting which starts on Friday. Brent crude traded down 1.12% at 73.92 but WTI declined less, down 0.82% to 65.16 after US crude inventories this week showed a large decline, signalling strong domestic demand, probably driven by seasonal factors.

Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient.

Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warrant that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, the author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does the author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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