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Forex Technical Analysis: Trend Potential, Based on Breakout

Published 02/01/2019, 06:46
Updated 09/07/2023, 11:32

USDJPY

Technical observation

For several days now, USD has been declining steadily towards the support 109.39, currently price is rallying around the line and my expectation is either a clear breach below it with a big red candle followed by a pullback to it or a bounce at it followed by a correction to the zone 111.67-111.36. In case you sold this pair previously within 111.67-111.36 you can pick your profits now at 109.39 but if you had not sold this pair yet, you can wait for the breakout below 109.39 and a correction to it to sell USD with your take profit at 106.73 and stop loss at 110.47, or a rejection at 109.39 followed by a correction to 111.67-111.36 to sell USD.

For three consecutive weeks now this pair has been declining steadily on the weekly chart and I still expect more bearish price rally for the pair on the daily chart above on all time frames. For long term traders (monthly), I expect a possible steady decline towards 99.75.

Support level
S1.109.09
S2.109.22
S3.109.26
Pivot
109.34

Resistance levels
R1.109.39
R2.109.47
R3.109.6

Trade recommendation
Remain flat.

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