A sequence of 2 up weeks for the euro ended last week despite initial upside reaching the most positive levels for 6 weeks. This was achieved at the beginning of the week but prices were unable to be sustained above the 200 day moving average and 4 consecutive daily losses were posted into Friday’s close.
With the 13 day moving average breached and medium-term signals turning increasingly negative we look for the downside to deepen further.
Potential exists to 1.3477 and even towards 1.3369, a 50% correction of the 2013-14 rise.