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China Stimulus Package Boosts FTSE

Published 15/01/2019, 10:15

Domestic economic problems compounded by the ongoing trade war between the US and China are slowly eroding the speed of China’s economic growth and the country’s officials have now decided on a new set of measures to boost that pace including improving credit availability for smaller businesses, increasing investment in infrastructure and a cut in taxes. European markets perked up after the decision with the FTSE gaining around 0.4% in early trade.

Bet makers decline on US Justice Department view

The biggest gainers in London are industrials and manufacturing companies such as Rolls Royce (LON:RR) and BAE Systems (LON:BAES) but miners also gained ground given that China is the single biggest buyer of all base metals. In contrast, book makers Paddy Power Betfair, William Hill, GVC Holdings and 888 Holdings are all sliding this morning after an opinion by the US Justice Department issued Monday signalled possible further restrictions on online gambling while the ongoing Brexit uncertainty is eroding the share prices of home builders, banks and high street chains.

PM speech makes little difference to Brexit expectations

The Prime Minister’s speech to the Commons late Monday, a last ditch attempt to persuade Parliamentarians to vote for her Brexit proposal Tuesday, seems to have done little to shift their opinion. The expectations remain for a resounding defeat on the vote with the twist now that both economists and investors have become less convinced that there will be a hard Brexit and more that there might be a complete U-turn on Britain’s divorce from Europe. Sterling is now reflecting this view, trading 0.3% higher against the euro and 0.1% against the dollar.

If Theresa May’s Brexit proposal is rejected, she will have three days to submit to Parliament a new proposal. In that scenario she is expected to talk to European negotiators on Wednesday to try and get further concessions. If that fails too, a second likely scenario is a European Union Withdrawal Bill Number 2, an idea put forward by three Conservative backbenchers which would give ministers another three weeks to come up with an alternative plan that they could submit to Parliament. But as mentioned the no-Brexit option is gathering momentum although it has not been fully formulated yet by any single group of MPs.

Political uncertainty aside, though the country’s economy is taking a hit from Brexit, it still continues to grow although at a far slower pace than some of its peers. Inflation is now close to the BoE’s target rate of 2% and the bank is widely expected to leave rates unchanged at its next meeting in February.

Boohoo has defied fears of a Christmas sales slump in style

The upgraded revenue guidance well and truly puts to rest concerns for online retailers triggered last month by ASOS's (LON:ASOS) shock downgrade.

While its margin guidance has been narrowed, Boohoo (LON:BOOH) appears to be exercising remarkable price discipline at what was supposed to be a perilous time for retailers across the board.

Boohoo remains a young company that's growing off a rapidly-expanding but still relatively-small base. So there's room there for more growth -- particularly if it completes its Burnley distribution centre extension this year as planned.

The new Burnley hub will introduce more automation to the operational equation, promising efficiency gains that could act as a cushion for margins should Brexit uncertainty continue to dog the sector this year.

Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient.

Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warrant that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, the author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does the author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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