Get 40% Off
🤯 This Tech Portfolio is up 29% YTD! Join Now to Get April’s Top PicksGet The Picks – Just 99 USD

Chart Of the Day: Has NASDAQ Ended Its Bearish Trend?

Published 07/05/2021, 14:26
Updated 11/03/2024, 11:10

This article was written exclusively for Investing.com

In recent days, US technology and growth stocks have underperformed with investors choosing the racier value stocks—those that tend to rely on economic growth. But after Thursday’s bullish price action, the tech sector could find renewed strength again as yields, including on the 10-year Treasury note, have fallen on the back of dovish remarks from several Fed officials who have moved to quell speculation over monetary tightening amid rising inflationary pressures. 

On Thursday, the Dow rose to a record high as more economic signs of an improving economy emerged, with applications for unemployment benefits falling last week to a fresh pandemic low. But this didn’t prevent the tech-heavy NASDAQ making a nice comeback. Investors will be watching today’s monthly employment report, which is expected to reveal that around 1 million nonfarm jobs were added in April.

The key question is, will the NASDAQ be able to extend its gains even if today’s jobs data triggers a bond market sell-off and cause yields to rebound?

Remember, rising yields have not been a great sign for the over-stretched tech sector in recent past, so make sure you are taking extra care if you are going to be trading the NASDAQ or tech names today.

NASDAQ Daily

But as the above chart shows, the NASDAQ has managed to hold key support just below the 13400 area (shaded in blue), which was previously resistance. This area provided support not only on Thursday, but it is where the sharp sell-off on Tuesday had also ended. In other words, the index has formed a double bottom here, which suggests we may see further gains going forward for the technology sector. 

Unlike the Dow, which closed at a record high as value stocks surged, the NASDAQ is still over 3% below its all-time peak around 14064. On the way to that target, there will be some levels that need monitoring, including the area shaded in red, between 13700 to 13765. This was the last support area prior to this week’s breakdown. Once support, it may turn into resistance on re-test from below. In addition, the 21-day exponential moving average also comes in here, making it a technically-important zone.

But given the double bottom formation and as the bullish trend line also held, not to mention the fact that the long-term trend is bullish, I would say the probability of the index breaking through the above resistance zone is higher than a sharp rejection there to send us to new weekly lows. 

Still, if you are trading the NASDAQ or tech stocks today, it is definitely worth keeping a close eye on that potential area of resistance. If and when this zone is cleared, we could see the index make a run towards, and potentially beyond, its all-time high.

Latest comments

excellent analysis, as always i agree and thanks for sharing your thoughts
i think nasdaq is headed lower to 13000 levels
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.