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BP Cash Flow Numbers Not Ideal; Weather Impact On NWF Sales

Published 31/07/2018, 09:54

Like Shell (LON:RDSa) earlier this week, BP (LON:BP) hasn't issued ideal cash flow numbers. But both companies have nevertheless turned on the spending taps, paying for either buybacks, dividends or acquisitions. That's offering insight into just how confident Big Oil must be on the industry's outlook.

At $39.3bn, BP's debt pile is still pretty cumbersome and investors are rightly cautious about pushing its shares back to pre-Deepwater Horizon levels.

BP is of course a much leaner operation now, thanks to its reaction to the oil price collapse in 2014. It can now turn a profit with oil below $50 a barrel, giving its balance sheet more headroom to weather another price downturn, and offering a modicum of reassurance that it's not being too loose with its spending.

The weather is set to impact NWF sales

NWF's heating oil business was a big beneficiary of the frigid British winter as it delivered energy to farmers in need off the grid.

But even the company admits the same benefit isn't expected to materialise this year, and lots of work needs to be done getting the foods division back on track after the loss of a major contract.

It will be interesting to see how much the extremely hot summer impacts milk prices and farmer demand for feed. NWF claims to feed one in six cows in Britain and the sweltering condition could disrupt production.

All in all, though, NWF has a good track record of paying a reliable dividend and any fall in the shares today could provide a good entry point for yield-hungry investors.

Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient.

Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warrant that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, the author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does the author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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