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Morgan Stanley maintains Li Auto overweight, cuts stock PT on near-term guidance

Published 25/03/2024, 14:06
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On Monday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) adjusted its outlook on Li Auto Inc (NASDAQ:LI), reducing the price target to $65 from the previous $74 while retaining an Overweight rating on the stock. The decision follows Li Auto's own revised guidance for the first quarter, which has been set lower than earlier expectations. The analyst acknowledged the current market sentiment, which has seen Li Auto's shares decline by 34% month-to-date, compared to a 2% increase for the NASDAQ.

The report noted that the first quarter is expected to be soft, and the market anticipates a lukewarm second quarter. However, the analyst highlighted that potential catalysts such as forward demand, the ramp-up of new models, and a recalibration of battery electric vehicle (BEV) strategies could significantly influence the company's trajectory. The refreshed price target of $65 takes into account the latest guidance from Li Auto.

Despite the recent stock correction and the guidance cut by Li Auto, the analyst observed divergent opinions among investors. While some remain cautious, citing concerns over branding, pricing competition, and BEV challenges, others are more optimistic. The optimists are giving Li Auto the benefit of the doubt based on its solid track record, expecting it to recover consumer traction and order momentum in the near future.

The report also mentioned the upcoming launch of the L6 model, which is anticipated to be a positive factor for the company. Additionally, the possibility of policy support in China during the second quarter could act as a catalyst for the sector, potentially benefiting Li Auto and others in the industry.

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InvestingPro Insights

Amidst the recent adjustments in Li Auto Inc's (NASDAQ:LI) market outlook, InvestingPro data and insights provide a broader context to the company's financial health and future potential. With a current market capitalization of $31.02 billion and a P/E ratio standing at 18.51, Li Auto presents a mixed picture to investors. The company's revenue growth has been impressive over the last twelve months as of Q4 2023, with a substantial increase of 173.48%, reflecting its dynamic expansion in the competitive automobile market.

Investors looking for insights into Li Auto's operational efficiency will note the company's gross profit margin of 22.2%, which is a significant indicator of its ability to manage costs relative to its revenue. The stock's recent performance has been volatile, with a 7.99% decline over the last week, aligning with Morgan Stanley's observation of the market sentiment.

From the perspective of InvestingPro Tips, it is noteworthy that Li Auto holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, positioning it favorably in terms of financial stability. Additionally, analysts predict that the company will be profitable this year, which is an encouraging sign for potential investors. These insights, along with 12 additional tips available on InvestingPro, can provide a deeper understanding of the stock's potential. For those considering an InvestingPro subscription, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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