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Earnings call: Arbe Robotics gears up for 2025 production with key partnerships

Published 23/05/2024, 15:04
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Arbe Robotics (ticker: ARBE), a leader in radar technology for autonomous driving, has announced during its first quarter 2024 earnings call that it is on track for significant developments in its radar systems.

The company revealed a partnership with a Tier 1 partner in China to supply a global autonomous driving leader with radar systems, scheduled for production in 2025. Arbe also highlighted the completion of post-point cloud algorithms, which are now integrated into HiRain's imaging radar for serial production set to commence by the end of this year.

CEO Kobi Marenko expressed confidence in securing at least four design wins out of 11 opportunities and provided an update on the company's financial guidance, projecting an adjusted EBITDA for 2024 to be a loss in the range of $30 million to $36 million.

Key Takeaways

  • Arbe Robotics is partnering with a Tier 1 partner to supply radar systems to a global autonomous driving leader, with production scheduled for 2025.
  • The company has successfully developed post-point cloud algorithms, now integrated into HiRain's imaging radar, with serial production expected to start by year-end.
  • Arbe is working towards securing full design wins and is confident in its opportunity pipeline, expecting to win at least four out of 11 shortlisted opportunities.
  • The company is in the final stages of dual listing on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange and is advancing through a convertible bond issuance to secure working capital.
  • Arbe's financial guidance for 2024 indicates an adjusted EBITDA loss ranging from $30 million to $36 million.

Company Outlook

  • Arbe Robotics is focused on achieving four design wins with automakers within the year.
  • The company is advancing through the final stages of dual listing on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange.
  • A convertible bond issuance is in progress to secure necessary working capital for the anticipated production ramp-up in 2025.
  • Arbe projects an adjusted EBITDA loss of $30 million to $36 million for 2024.

Bearish Highlights

  • The company anticipates an adjusted EBITDA loss for 2024, estimated to be between $30 million and $36 million.
  • Delays in the launch of Level 3 features due to the shift towards electric vehicles (EVs) have been noted, although most OEMs have decided to proceed with these features on both EVs and traditional engines.

Bullish Highlights

  • Arbe's radar technology, based on its chipset, is deemed superior to competing market solutions.
  • The company is not anticipating major issues with the auto-grade qualification for its chipset, which is expected to be completed soon.
  • Preliminary orders for 2025 have been received from partnerships with HiRain and Weifu in China.

Misses

  • There is no current focus from Arbe's Tier 1 partners on the commercial or transit market due to lower volume and higher integration costs.

Q&A Highlights

  • Arbe's CEO discussed the progress of obtaining full auto-grade qualification for the company's chipset, expected to be completed by the end of the current quarter or early next quarter.
  • The company's partnerships in China, particularly with HiRain and Weifu, have resulted in preliminary orders for 2025, including some programs involving trucks and robotaxis.
  • Arbe's radar is highlighted as the only imaging radar in the NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) Omniverse partnership.
  • Despite delays caused by the shift to EVs, OEMs are moving forward with Level 3 features on various vehicle types, with Arbe's radar offering a price advantage over LiDAR.

Arbe Robotics is poised to make significant strides in the autonomous driving industry with its advanced radar technology. The company's progress, partnerships, and strategic financial planning position it to meet the upcoming demand and industry standards, despite the anticipated EBITDA loss for 2024. With the company ready for revenues and most production expenses already incurred, Arbe Robotics is gearing up for a pivotal year in 2025.

InvestingPro Insights

Arbe Robotics is navigating a pivotal period as it prepares for production ramp-up and partnerships that may shape its future in the autonomous driving industry. The company's recent financial guidance and strategic moves reflect a company in transition, with a focus on long-term growth despite near-term financial headwinds.

InvestingPro Data for Arbe Robotics indicates a market capitalization of $132.19 million, reflecting the market's current valuation of the company. Notably, the company's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023 stands at $1.47 million, with a significant quarterly revenue growth of 132.89%. However, this comes with a backdrop of a gross profit margin of -2.58%, signaling challenges in achieving profitability. The company's stock price has experienced volatility, with a 1-month price total return of -7.14% and a 1-year price total return of -24.89%, which may concern some investors.

InvestingPro Tips highlight several key aspects of Arbe Robotics' financial health and market positioning. Importantly, the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which is a positive sign of liquidity. Moreover, Arbe's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, suggesting a level of financial stability in the near term. However, analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, and the company is quickly burning through cash, which may raise concerns about its cash flow sustainability. Additionally, the company is not expected to be profitable this year, and it does not pay a dividend to shareholders, which could be a deterrent for income-seeking investors.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, there are 11 additional InvestingPro Tips available for Arbe Robotics at https://www.investing.com/pro/ARBE. These tips could provide further insights into the company's financial health, stock performance, and market expectations. To access these insights and more, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, offering valuable context for investors considering Arbe Robotics in their investment portfolio.

Full transcript - Industrial Tech Acquisitions (ARBE) Q1 2024:

Operator: Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Arbe Robotics First Quarter 2024 Earnings Results Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Please note that today's event is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the floor over to Miri Segal, CEO of MS-IR. Please go ahead.

Miri Segal-Scharia: Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. Welcome to Arbe's First Quarter 2024 Financial Results Conference Call. Before we begin, I would like to remind our listeners that certain information provided on this call may contain forward-looking statements and the Safe Harbor statement outlined in today's release also applies today's call. If you have not received a copy of the PR, please view it in the Investor Relations section of the company's website. Kobi Marenko, Arbe's Co-Founder and CEO, will begin the call with a business update. Then we will turn the call over to Karine Pinto-Flomenboim, Arbe's CFO, who will review the financials in more detail. Finally, we will open the call for the question-and-answer session. With that I'd like to turn it over to Kobi Marenko, Arbe's CEO. Kobi, please go ahead.

Kobi Marenko: Thank you, Miri. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I'd like to start by sharing some exciting updates with you. We congratulate hiring one of our Tier 1s in China on being selected to supply radar systems powered by the Arbe chipset to a global leader in autonomous driving with net production scheduled in 2025. We look forward to providing more details about this announcement soon. Arbe also reached a significant milestone in Q1, the successful development of post-point cloud algorithms, including tracking classification and free space mapping. These algorithms have been integrated into HiRain's imaging radar for serial production. This advanced advancements were tested by OEMs, demonstrating their potential to improve automotive safety. Importantly, HiRain announced it will begin the net production of these imaging radar by the end of this year. During the first quarter, Arbe and our Tier 1 made significant progress in reaching our goal of serial production by the end of this year. We work with major OEMs on data collection for their Level 2++ and Level 3 solutions as well as on improving the radar specification. As part of our progress in Japan, we'd like to update that the large Japanese automotive client is working to complete a massive data collection initiative with other radar solution this year as part of the development of an advanced ADAS and AD architecture. There's a wide demand for next-generation radar systems with a high-channel count now considered essential for road safety. In March, the ADAS radar and radar perception at Mercedes emphasize publicly that ADAS radars require an array of at least 32x32 channels. Few companies meet these requirements and Arbe exceeded with the largest channel array on the market. We see similar requirements in RFPs from other major OEMs. We are pleased by the outstanding progress we are making with top OEMs worldwide. Despite industry delays, we are confident in our opportunity pipeline and our goal to secure full design wins this year, especially with promise and signs coming from leading top 10 OEMs. We look forward to sharing more updates very soon. Collaborations are key for Arbe. The NVIDIA GTC Conference, NVIDIA shared that it has brought together a select group of the advanced sensors from industry leaders, including Arbe Perception Radar to create a rich ecosystem of simulation tools and applications as part of the Omniverse cloud APIs, give us design to accelerate the path to autonomy. Additionally, at the 2024 Beijing International Automotive Exhibition, Horizon Robotics, a leading provider of computing solutions for ADAS and autonomous driving in China showcased the integration of Weifu's 4D Imaging Radar, powered by the Arbe chipset with Horizon's Journey six automotive AI processors as part of their partner ecosystem. As many of you know, there have been important developments within our industry and shift towards new safety standards and regulations. These are needed to drive the future of road safety. We certainly believe that Arbe has the best solution to effectively address these changes, and we are well positioned to help meet the revolution. The NHTSA federal safety standards of the US mandates automatic emergency braking or AEB, including pedestrian AEB for all passenger cars and light trucks by September 2029. This safety measure is set to reduce collision and accidents with pedestrian. At the same time, Euro NCAP 2030 road map aim for zero road fatalities requiring proactive fresh presentation in all scenarios. A key to successful [indiscernible] will be in the sensors used to power the advanced safety standards and requirements. This creates a growing opportunity for the adoption of our technology, which is the leading solution for tracking pedestrians and vehicles in challenging weather and lighting condition even at high speed and over long distances. We expect that by the end of the decade, over 15% of new cars will feature high-end imaging radars like ours, providing real safety and Level 3 autonomy. Lastly, we are in the final stages of dual listing with an additional listing on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange. At the same time, we are advancing through the convertible bond issuance on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange to secure working capital and support the expected production ramp-up in 2025. We are excited about the potential opportunities for Arbe and we believe that 2024 will prove to be a turning point for our company. Now I'd like to turn it over to our CFO, Karine, to go over the financials.

Karine Pinto-Flomenboim: Thank you, Kobi, and hello, everyone. I'd like to review our financial results for the first quarter of 2024 in more detail. Total revenue in the first quarter was $0.1 million, a decrease from $0.4 million in Q1 2023. Backlog as of March 31st was $1 million and is expected to be recognized as revenue during 2024. Negative gross margin for Q1 '24 was 194% compared to a positive gross margin of 11% in Q1 2023. The margin decrease was mainly related to a reduction in revenue and an increase in our workforce. Moving on to expenses. In Q1 2024, we reported total operating expenses of $12.5 million compared to $10.7 million in Q1 2023. The increase in operating expenses was primarily driven by an increase in noncash share-based compensation expenses totaling $1.9 million. To a lesser extent, labor cost increase was offset by bonus accrual release, favorable exchange rate and reduction in D&O insurance rates. Operating loss in the first quarter of 2024 was $12.8 million compared to an operating loss of $10.6 million in the first quarter of 2023. Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP measurement, which excludes expenses for share-based compensation and for nonrecurring items, was a loss of $8.5 million in Q1 of 2024 in accordance with our plan. This is compared to a loss of $8.4 million in the first quarter of 2023. Net loss in the first quarter of 2024 increased to $12.8 million compared to a net loss of $9.9 million in the first quarter of 2023. Net loss in Q1 '24 included $45,000 of financial expenses, resulting mainly from exchange rate revaluation. Expenses, partially offset by interest from deposits and warrants revaluation. This is compared to a $0.7 million in financial income in the first quarter of 2023. Moving to our balance sheet. As of March 31st, 2024, Arbe had $5.4 million in cash and cash equivalents and $30.3 million in short-term bank deposits with no debt. With respect to our guidance for the year, we would like to reiterate what we previously shared. Our goal of achieving four design-wins with automakers remains unchanged as we observed continued strong interest in our market-leading offerings. We have strengthened our positioning in all our RFQ engagements even though the OEMs have shifted their decision time lines from late 2023 to 2024. The 2024 annual revenue are expected to be in line with those of 2023, followed by revenue growth in 2025. These revenue projections are based on the intention to be in full production in the second half of 2024 as well as our decision to focus exclusively on getting our chipset into production. We are committed to maintaining a strong and well-managed balance sheet, focusing on cost effectiveness and the ability to fund our revenue growth. Adjusted EBITDA for 2024 is projected to be in the range of $30 million loss to $36 million loss. Now we will be happy to take your questions.

Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we'll begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Joshua Buchalter from TD Cowen. Please go ahead with your question.

Joshua Buchalter: Hi, Team. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to ask about the confidence in the -- achieving the four design-wins this year. Any incremental data points or what you can give us and what gives you confidence that those are going to convert in the second half of the year? And maybe what led to the, we've litigated in the past, but maybe an update on the time line given it got pushed from 2023 into 2024. Any clues by geography or type of application that these wins are going to be for? Thank you.

Kobi Marenko: Yes. So basically, as we said, out of those opportunities were pushed from last quarter, and are now coming to a decision point. What we see as a main change between last year and this year is that even in RFQ that were in the market, the conditions were changed and the threshold for the radar gets much higher and basically, in majority of the opportunities, leaving two or three only players that can provide the solution. And this gives us a lot of comfort that majority of the market, all of the, I think, the top 10 OEMs, at least, understand that multi-channel high-channel count radar is key for Level 2++ and Level 3 and the fact that the regulation change and added the need for automatic braking, especially in all use cases gives our radar basically, I think, backwind -- a dramatic backwind because any OEM will need to have this kind of solution. And the only way to solve it is with a high channel count imaging radar and camera. Single camera alone cannot solve those scenarios. Even camera and LiDAR cannot solve it. But anyway the LiDAR is much too expensive for a feature that is basically not something that the OEMs can really charge the customer on it. To add to some light to your -- to the numbers. So we are today engaged with 11 car companies coming from Germany, from Sweden, from other countries in Europe as well as from Japan and China. In all of those RFPs and RFQs, we are already past long process with, of course, our Tier 1 partners of evaluation of the radar, testing the radar in corner cases and showing the advantage of our radar based on our chipset and high-end channel count imaging radar based on our chipset as opposed to the solutions in the market that are based on TI or NXP (NASDAQ:NXPI) chipsets that are called imaging radar. This is not really an imaging radar. And I think all of the OEMs understand the difference between really missing radars like the ones that are based on our chipset or one of our competitors -- our main competitor that is coming also from Israel. And the existing legacy solutions that are based on the legacy chips that were not designed to meet the spec of tomorrow. There was a design for the spec of yesterday and taking everything, all of this into consideration, we are sure that out of 11 opportunities that were shortlisted, we will win at least four in the coming months, and we will be able to announce them to the market. This is the reason why we are raising loan. The loan in Tel Aviv is based on a condition that we will win a contract. Our confidence in the fact that we are very close to winning the contract I think allowed us to raise this money and also the confidence of the investors that we are close to that are willing to give us a loan with a conversion price that is more than 30% higher than our today share price. So I believe that we have -- we will have a very good year, like we said, a turning point for the company coming from development to business very soon.

Joshua Buchalter: Thanks for the extensive color, Kobi. For my follow-up, I think in the press release, you mentioned you're getting close to receiving full auto-grade qualification. It feels like that process has been going on for a while. Can you maybe talk about what are the last few things you need to complete to get the auto grade sign-off? And then is that a hurdle and something that needs to be completed before you sign one of these OEM wins? Or is that not the case? Thank you.

Kobi Marenko: I think the our chipset -- the process of taking chipset to qualification on automotive is the structured process. GlobalFoundries (NASDAQ:GFS) are leading it and managing it for us together with us and together with our engineers. We are more or less on the time frame to finish it by the end of this quarter, early next quarter. And as we mentioned in the last quarter, basically before you're starting a full qualification, you're doing many qualification to make sure that there's no major items. We passed this prequalification, mini-qualification, and we are now in the middle of finishing the technical process, which includes thousands of hours of chips working in high temperatures and in low temperatures to make sure that they are -- they will be able to stand in all conditions that the automotive market wants. It doesn't look today that this is a showstopper for us in calls with our OEM partners, GlobalFoundries, giving their objective assessment that the chips going to be in production in very few months from now. So I think that all of the OEMs that are going to select our chipset with Magna, with HiRain or with other Tier 1 are really they're crafting GlobalFoundries that Global will bring those chips through production and I believe it's not a major issue for us.

Joshua Buchalter: Thank you.

Operator: Our next question comes from Suji Desilva from ROTH Capital. Please go ahead with your question.

Suji Desilva: Hi, Kobi. Hi, Karine. Kobi, you talked about some of the progress with HiRain and Weifu in China. Can you just elaborate on the ramps, the times of revenue? And what the -- how many programs that those involve?

Kobi Marenko: So we already stated that HiRain and Weifu gave us preliminary order for 2025. HiRain is $30 million, Weifu is $10 million. And we are now engaged with a few programs to make sure that the customers will get radars based on our chipset in this volume in 2025.

Suji Desilva: Okay. And those are for automotive, Kobi, automotive?

Kobi Marenko: Yes. Some of them is trucks and robotaxis and we have HiRain won a project in one of the port of China for trucks. I would say that around 25% of it is non-OEMs, non-passenger vehicles, the rest is for passenger vehicles.

Suji Desilva: Okay. Great. Very helpful color, Kobi. Thank you. And then secondly, on the -- you mentioned the NVIDIA Omniverse element. Is Arbe's radar the kind of exclusive radar element there? Or are there multiple radar elements involved? Are they looking for imaging radar? What's the color there on that partnership and inclusion?

Kobi Marenko: The only imaging radar is Arbe's imaging radar. Of course, there is also low end radar there for radar belt low end 4x4 radar, but the high end imaging radar is only Arbe.

Suji Desilva: Okay. Great. All right. I think lastly maybe the in China, can you talk about the significance of working with Horizon and Horizon and Weifu working together in terms of further penetrating the China market versus working with the Tier 1s like Weifu?

Kobi Marenko: So we are not allowed to elaborate a lot about our corporation there. But what I can say is that basically, Horizon is like NVIDIA. So it's the ECU. They are not a Tier 1. By the end of the day, there is a Tier 1 that's taking their chips and building the central compute and integrating our radar into this processor. And the same as we have integration with NVIDIA. We have this -- there is this kind of integration with Horizon. And we believe that this is a main condition for part of the OEMs in China. As you're probably aware, I think that the Chinese market is basically divided between NVIDIA and Horizon. They are controlling the ECU market in China. So with the fact that we are integrated with both of them, I think, gives us a lot of advantage in this essence.

Suji Desilva: Okay. Again, very helpful color, Kobi. Thanks.

Operator: Our next question comes from Jaime Perez from Lafferty. Please go ahead with your question.

Jamie Perez: Hi. Thank you. Good day everybody. Thanks for taking my question. I mean over the last couple of quarters, we've seen a sentiment change for the EV early adapters and going more towards ICE (NYSE:ICE) and I think hybrid is also gaining share. I mean, could you give us a little bit of color whether you -- do you have any exposure to hybrids and ICE vehicles? And my follow-up question for that is a lot of EVs are focusing now on affordability especially with the Chinese threatening to ship a low price cost. So could you tell me what does that mean for your margins and pricing power? All right. Thanks.

Kobi Marenko: I think those are two great questions. So first of all, regarding the EV shift. So I think that this is part of the reason for the delays. So, last year, majority of the OEMs were focusing on moving almost totally to EV by 2030. And according to that, they decided that all of the new features like Level 3 and Level 2++ would be launched solely on EV. Last quarter -- in the last quarter of '23, the market strategically understood that the move to -- the shift to EV will take longer than expected due to price due to customers' adoption due to charging problems and so on. And this basically brought all of those programs of Level 3 into a state that they will reevaluate and the schedule was basically delayed. As we see it by the end of Q1, majority of the OEMs took a decision to launch those services on both EV and regular engines as well as, of course, for the hybrid. So from this perspective, there's no change right now. It caused the delay, but right now, we are on the go. The second question that you raised, I think, is dramatically interesting. The price pressure for EV is really pushing for sensors that are cheaper and imaging radar, I would say, is dramatically cheaper than LiDAR, and we believe that this dramatically helps us at least on the NHTSA AEB standout. And also for Level 3, I think that our radar is affordable better than the other sensors.

Jamie Perez: So basically you have -- we know -- so you have a price advantage versus radar now. Most of it -- like I said, most of the focus has been on passenger. I think on the electric vehicle to commercial market has been doing a little bit better. I mean could you maybe talk about the initiative in the commercial or transit market, if you have any, right. Thanks.

Kobi Marenko: We are not focused -- it's not us, but our -- most of our Tier 1s are not focusing on that. So at least on the Western world of China, Weifu won a project with DiDi's trucks company, and HiRain also have some trucks projects. But outside of China, Magna is not bidding on any trucks bid as of now. The volume in trucks is lower adaptation and the cost of integration is higher and the volume is not really make it economical for these kinds of solutions as of now.

Jamie Perez: All right. Okay. I'll pass it back. Thanks for the questions.

Operator: Our next question comes from Matthew Galinko from Maxim (NASDAQ:MXIM) Group. Please go ahead with your question.

Matthew Galinko: Hi. Thanks for taking my question. I was hoping you could maybe provide a little more detail around the investments you expect to make or need to make as you move into production in the back half of this year. And I think to your point is you plan to support through the node issue? Thanks.

Kobi Marenko: So majority or basically all of our expenses, service production were already done. This quarter, Q1, we had last item that was related to increasing the capacity of the burning boats. So we will be able to supply much higher volumes next year. But all of the expenses that are related to production, which are majority of them is CapEx are already done and now behind us. And I think we are ready for revenues.

Matthew Galinko: Great. Thank you.

Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, with that being our final question for today, we'll be ending today's conference call as well as today's presentation. We thank everyone for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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