Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Poll - ECB QE should work, unlikely to extend beyond September 2016: traders

Published 26/01/2015, 15:07
© Reuters. A traffic sign stands in front of the new headquarters of the European Central Bank in Frankfurt

(Reuters) - The European Central Bank's quantitative easing programme will be enough to bring inflation back to target, a slim majority of euro zone money market traders polled by Reuters said.

Eleven of 19 traders polled said the ECB's near trillion euro QE would bring inflation close to 2 percent. Economists polled by Reuters immediately after Thursday's announcement had narrowly said it would not.

While economists said last week the programme would be extended beyond the planned ending in September 2016, nine traders said it was unlikely to be prolonged and one said it was very unlikely.

The sovereign bond purchase programme unveiled on Thursday was the ECB's latest salvo in its battle against deflation -- a separate poll showed euro zone inflation probably fell to -0.5 percent annually in January.

A majority of traders polled, 12 of 19, expect holders to be willing to part with enough sovereign bonds for the ECB to meet its goal of purchasing around 50 billion euros(37.5 billion pounds) worth per month.

"I think the ECB ... will find a way to meet the target. The pool of eligible assets is large enough to be successful," said a trader at a large dealer.

Next week, banks will repay 6.5 billion euros of the second long-term crisis loan they took three years ago, the poll found. The first tranche matures on Thursday and together, 14.8 billion euro will be repaid this week.

Banks were also seen taking 13.0 billion euros at the three-month auction, more than the 10.2 billion euros they borrowed last time.

At the regular weekly operation, ECB will lend 130.0 billion euros to banks, according to the poll, more than the 125.3 billion euros lent last time.

----------------------------------------------------------------

ALLOTMENT

ONE-WEEK

---------------------------------------------------------------

MEDIAN 130.0

MEAN 133.5

MODE 130.0

HIGHEST 175.0

LOWEST 110.0

COUNT 22

----------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------

THREE-YEAR LTRO REPAYMENTS

SECOND LTRO

----------------------------------------------------------------

MEDIAN 6.5

MEAN 7.2

MODE 5.0

HIGHEST 20.0

LOWEST 0.5

COUNT 20

----------------------------------------------------------------

GUIDE TO EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK ANNOUNCEMENTS

ANNOUNCEMENTS ON ECB OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS

ECB WEBSITE www.ecb.int

© Reuters. A traffic sign stands in front of the new headquarters of the European Central Bank in Frankfurt

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.