Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious OutperformanceFind Stocks Now

Marketmind: Memo for Britain's next PM - There's no stopping bad news

Published 19/08/2022, 06:04
Updated 19/08/2022, 06:15
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A woman does groceries as restrictions in the city have started to ease, amid the outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), at a market in Leicester, Britain, August 19, 2020.  REUTERS/Paul Childs

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Anshuman Daga

Another day, another miserable set of British data.

"A sense of exasperation" and "crisis of confidence". That was the sombre message from Britain's longest-running survey of household finances released on Friday.

The record low of -44 in the Gfk consumer sentiment index in August, worse than what economists expected, underscores a summer of discontent that shows no signs of receding.

No wonder, the frontrunner to be Britain's next prime minister Liz Truss says her government's defining mission would be to revive the economy.

But with Britain scoring the dubious distinction of becoming the first major rich economy to see price growth hit double digits, the Bank of England is set to raise interest rates by a further half point to 2.25%.

Retail sales data due on Friday will set the mood for markets. Growing worries about a weaker British economy kept sterling on the back foot, as it fell to a one-month low.

Euro zone inflation reached a new record high of 8.9% year-on-year in July and a nasty feedback loop is opening up as the current account deficit weighs on the euro and import bills swell for raw materials from gas to metals.

Asian shares were left in limbo on Friday while the U.S. dollar rose to a fresh one-month high against a basket of major peers as Federal Reserve policymakers continued to talk up the need for further interest rate hikes.

Turkey's central bank, by contrast, shocked markets with a 100 basis point rate cut despite soaring inflation.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

On the soccer pitch, meanwhile, it looks like deep pockets are needed to persuade the Glazer family to part with Manchester United, though fans hope a successful sale could pave the way for a return to winning ways for the club.

Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:

Economic data: UK July ONS retail sales data, euro zone current account balance

U.S. labor market resilient despite rate hikes; housing market wilting:

German economic outlook gloomy, finance ministry says:

Japan's inflation holds above BOJ target, price pressures broaden:

Latest comments

If retail sales fall further, how can the BoE justify another rise in interest rates? It's just proof that the cause off this inflation is not something the BoE can control. it's a government problem...high energy prices
sanctions blowback
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.