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UK manufacturing PMI hits 26-month high in August on rising domestic demand

Published 02/09/2024, 11:21
Updated 02/09/2024, 12:17
UK manufacturing PMI hits 26-month high in August on rising domestic demand

Invezz.com - The United Kingdom’s manufacturing sector showed resilience in August, according to a report by S&P Global released on Monday.

The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) stood at 52.5, unchanged from the preliminary estimate and up from 52.1 in July.

This is the highest level in 26 months, primarily driven by strong domestic demand that offset weaknesses in export markets.

Employment growth surged at its fastest rate since July 2022, though manufacturers continue to face challenges in securing new overseas contracts due to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties.

UK manufacturing PMI holds steady

The PMI in the UK remained at 52.5 in August, up from 52.1 in July, marking its highest level in over two years. This indicates a period of recovery for the sector, buoyed by a significant increase in domestic orders.

While the domestic market showed strength, the data revealed a slowdown in exports, particularly to Europe and China.

This imbalance is attributed to global conflicts, freight delays, and high shipping costs, all affecting the ability of UK manufacturers to secure new contracts abroad.

Employment growth accelerates

Employment in the UK’s manufacturing sector rose at its fastest pace in 13 months in August, driven by increased production to meet domestic demand.

This rise contrasts with a decrease in backlogs of work, indicating that manufacturers are managing their workloads more efficiently. This suggests a balancing act where firms prepare for future demand while handling current orders.

Weak export demand impacts growth prospects

Despite the positive PMI reading, the UK manufacturing sector remains cautious due to weaker export demand.

European markets, a significant destination for UK goods, have shown reduced appetite due to economic slowdowns and political uncertainties.

Demand from mainland China has also slowed, contributing to a subdued export environment. Freight delays and high shipping costs further hinder the competitiveness of UK manufacturers on the global stage.

Can domestic orders sustain growth amid issues?

While domestic orders are bolstering the UK manufacturing sector, supply chain issues present ongoing challenges. The S&P Global report highlighted extended supplier delivery times, worsened by geopolitical tensions and global conflicts.

These delays limit production growth even as firms increase hiring to meet current demand. The impact is particularly pronounced for industries relying on just-in-time manufacturing, where delays cause significant bottlenecks.

In contrast to export challenges, the domestic market is providing a much-needed boost. Increased domestic orders are helping offset reduced export sales, offering some relief from the global slowdown.

However, reliance on domestic demand poses a risk if consumer confidence wanes due to rising interest rates and economic uncertainties.

The sector remains in a fragile recovery phase, with future growth dependent on both domestic stability and improvements in global trade dynamics.

This article first appeared on Invezz.com

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