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Stem Inc. stock target cut on lower Q1 revenue, maintains buy rating

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 03/05/2024, 19:06
STEM
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On Friday, Stem Inc. (NYSE:STEM), a smart energy storage company, had its stock price target reduced by a TD Cowen analyst from $5.00 to $4.00, while the firm continued to endorse the stock with a Buy rating.

The revision follows Stem's report of lower than expected revenue for the first quarter, which was affected by a significant reduction due to hardware guarantees dating back to before June 2023. Despite this setback, the company's management has shown confidence by maintaining its full-year 2024 guidance.

The reduction in the stock price target reflects a $33.1 billion adjustment related to commitments Stem made prior to June 2023. If it were not for this charge, the company's financial performance would have surpassed its first-quarter 2024 projections. The analyst noted that this particular charge was a major factor in the revised revenue figures for the quarter.

Furthermore, Stem's management has indicated that their expectations for converting committed annual recurring revenue (CARR) to actual annual recurring revenue (ARR) have improved since the last quarter. This suggests a positive outlook on the company's ability to generate consistent revenue streams over time.

In its financial guidance, Stem has accounted for the impact of the hardware guarantee on its revenue. The company has reiterated its guidance for the year 2024, signaling stability and potential growth prospects despite the recent financial adjustments.

The TD Cowen analyst's updated stock price target of $4.00 reflects the new revenue expectations while maintaining a positive long-term view on Stem's stock with a Buy rating. The analyst's comments provided insight into the factors influencing the revised target, including the legacy hardware guarantees and the company's ongoing strategy for revenue conversion.

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InvestingPro Insights

As Stem Inc. navigates through its recent financial challenges, InvestingPro data and tips provide a more in-depth look into the company's performance and potential. With a market capitalization of $308.52 million and a significant revenue growth of 27.15% over the last twelve months as of Q4 2023, Stem shows promising signs of expansion. Still, the company's gross profit margin remains low at 1.81%, indicating that despite increasing revenues, profitability is under pressure.

InvestingPro Tips highlight concerns regarding Stem's financial health, notably its substantial debt burden and the risk of difficulties in covering interest payments. These issues are crucial for investors to consider, especially when the company is not expected to be profitable this year.

On the brighter side, analysts forecast sales growth in the current year, which could be a positive driver for the stock's future performance. Moreover, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations, Stem has a cushion to manage its immediate financial needs.

For investors looking to dive deeper into Stem's financials and strategic outlook, InvestingPro offers additional tips that can be accessed on their platform. With the use of coupon code PRONEWS24, readers can get an extra 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, unlocking comprehensive analysis and insights that could guide investment decisions. Currently, there are 15 more InvestingPro Tips available for Stem, which could provide further clarity on the company's prospects and investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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