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Norwegian Cruise Line stock maintains buy rating as analyst dismisses concerns of consumer slowdown

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 04/10/2024, 13:10
NCLH
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On Friday, Stifel, a financial services firm, increased its price target for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NYSE:NCLH) shares to $29.00, up from the previous $27.00. The firm has maintained a Buy rating on the stock. This adjustment comes after several days of investor meetings hosted by Norwegian Cruise Line's CFO, Mark Kempa, and Investor Relations, Sarah Inmon.

The company's operating fundamentals are reported to be performing at record levels, with no sign of a consumer slowdown. Norwegian Cruise Line's booking window is extended, onboard spending remains robust, and the company is expected to start the new year with approximately 60% of inventory already booked. These factors contribute to Stifel's optimistic outlook.

Norwegian Cruise Line is also on track to meet its financial goals for 2026, which include earnings per share (EPS) of around $2.45, a return on invested capital (ROIC) of about 12%, and a leverage ratio in the mid-4x range. Stifel believes that the cruise line has the potential to exceed these targets and possibly achieve an EPS greater than $3.00 by 2026.

Based on these assessments, Stifel has raised its earnings estimates for Norwegian Cruise Line for the years 2024 to 2026. The new price target of $29.00 reflects a 9.5x multiple of the company's expected 2026 EBITDA. The firm's confidence in the cruise operator's financial health and growth prospects is evident in this updated price target.

In other recent news, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings has been the subject of positive analyst attention. Truist analysts have raised their earnings projections and price targets for the company, pushing the price target to $25 from the previous $21. This move follows extensive discussions with senior travel industry executives and an analysis of data on future cruise bookings.

Similarly, both Macquarie and Mizuho Securities have reaffirmed their Outperform ratings on the company. Macquarie raised its price target from $23 to $24, and Mizuho increased its target from $24 to $26. These adjustments reflect the analysts' confidence in the cruise line's financial performance in the coming years.

On the financial front, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings' second-quarter performance exceeded both firms' estimates and market expectations, leading to the third consecutive upgrade of its full-year earnings guidance. The company's subsidiary, NCL Corporation Ltd, also announced plans for a $315 million private offering of senior notes due in 2030, with proceeds intended to redeem an equivalent amount of its 3.625% Senior Notes due in 2024.

In leadership changes, Mr. Russell Galbut has stepped down from the Board of Directors and his role as Chairperson, with Ms. Stella David succeeding him. .

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro adds depth to Stifel's optimistic outlook on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NYSE:NCLH). The company's market capitalization stands at $8.55 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the cruise industry. NCLH's revenue growth of 26.87% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 aligns with Stifel's observation of record-level operating fundamentals.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that NCLH's net income is expected to grow this year, supporting Stifel's raised earnings estimates. The company's P/E ratio of 19.69 and its adjusted P/E ratio of 19.0 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 suggest that the stock is trading at a relatively reasonable valuation considering its growth prospects.

Another InvestingPro Tip notes that NCLH is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to its near-term earnings growth, which could indicate potential upside in line with Stifel's increased price target. This is further supported by the PEG ratio of 0.14, suggesting the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth rate.

Investors seeking more comprehensive analysis can access additional InvestingPro Tips, with 6 more tips available for NCLH on the InvestingPro platform.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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