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Robinhood stock upgraded to overweight as Morgan Stanley sees 100% YTD rally continuing

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 25/11/2024, 09:10
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On Monday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) upgraded Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD) stock from Equalweight to Overweight, with a significant increase in the price target to $55.00, up from the previous $24.00. The adjustment reflects a positive outlook on the company's potential for revenue growth, particularly following recent political events.

The analyst cited several factors contributing to the optimistic assessment. These include a surge in revenue growth post-election, sustained retail trading, expanding support for cryptocurrency, opportunities arising from mergers and acquisitions (M&A), and a general revival of investor enthusiasm. The upgrade comes as Robinhood's stock has already seen a substantial rise, climbing over 100% since the start of the year.

Robinhood's strategic moves to diversify its services have been acknowledged as key drivers for its growth. The firm's recent acquisition of an RIA custody platform is seen as a step towards increasing its total addressable market (TAM) and capturing a larger share of customer wallets. These endeavors are part of Robinhood's broader plan to enhance its product offerings.

The analyst also noted that despite the stock's significant year-to-date gains, there is potential for further appreciation. This outlook is based on Robinhood's relatively low valuation and the acceleration of new initiatives. Additionally, the post-election climate is expected to maintain favorable conditions for revenue expansion, with the market likely to adopt a more forward-looking perspective on Robinhood's prospects into 2025.

In other recent news, Robinhood Markets has seen significant developments in its financial performance and market position. The company's Q3 2024 results reported a 36% year-over-year increase in revenues to $637 million, with adjusted EBITDA nearly doubling to $268 million. This financial growth was accompanied by the company's largest acquisition to date, TradePMR, valued at $300 million, bringing $40 billion in assets under administration and over 1,000 Registered Investment Advisors under Robinhood's control.

In terms of market analysis, Bernstein increased its price target for Robinhood to $51, up from $30, highlighting the potential for further growth in the cryptocurrency sector. Needham upgraded Robinhood shares from Hold to Buy, setting a price target of $40 due to expected expansion of the company's cryptocurrency offerings. Similarly, Piper Sandler and Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) increased their price targets for Robinhood, anticipating a favorable cryptocurrency market trend and the company's ongoing growth efforts.

Recent developments also include the launch of new trading products such as Index Options, Futures, and the desktop platform Robinhood Legend. The company's chief legal and compliance officer, Dan Gallagher, is being considered for the chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the upcoming administration. These recent developments highlight Robinhood's continued growth and potential in the financial market.

InvestingPro Insights

Robinhood Markets' recent upgrade by Morgan Stanley aligns with several key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's strong financial performance is evident in its impressive revenue growth of 35.74% over the last twelve months, with quarterly revenue growth reaching 36.4% in Q3 2024. This robust growth supports Morgan Stanley's optimistic outlook on Robinhood's potential for continued revenue expansion.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Robinhood is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to its near-term earnings growth, with a PEG ratio of 0.36. This suggests that the stock may still be undervalued despite its recent surge, aligning with the analyst's view on potential further appreciation. Additionally, the company's profitability over the last twelve months and analysts' expectations of continued profitability this year reinforce the positive sentiment surrounding Robinhood's financial health.

The stock's strong performance is further underscored by its remarkable 342.1% price return over the past year and a 78.69% return in the last six months. These figures reflect the market's growing confidence in Robinhood's strategic initiatives and growth prospects, as noted in the Morgan Stanley upgrade.

For investors seeking more comprehensive insights, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips for Robinhood Markets, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial position and market dynamics.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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