3cAnalysis

GBP/USD

In line with our bearish call for sentiment, Asian gains proved temporary yesterday – unable to clearly through the 13 day moving average. Selling pressure was resumed in Europe and CABLE was sold to the most bearish levels for 4 weeks.

Although some consolidation/minor profit taking has developed since it is not extensive and 3cA signals remain bearish, with some caution.

So our call is Bearish but to leave room to Sell a Rally to 1.6801, half of yesterday's decline. The risk is 1.6826 with an immediate target of 1.6754, yesterday's low, then 1.6728, open from 4 weeks ago, and 1.6697.

The risk is that selling pressure is weaker than currently assessed – signalled above yesterday's 1.6826 open focusing on 1.6848, the 13 day avg.

EUR/GBP

A sequence of 4 down days ended sharply yesterday. After making new lows sentiment for EUR/GBP turned aggressively in a move that approached the important 13 day moving average. While this point went untested the production of a Bullish Outside day leaves signals for sentiment temporarily positive.

So, allowing for volatility, our call is Bullish but also to Buy a Dip to 0.8162. The risk is 0.8144, yesterday's open, with targets of 0.8190, the 13 day avg, 0.8205, May 8th open, or even towards 0.8224.

The risk to this call is a move below 0.8144 focusing on yesterday's 0.8127 bottom.

FTSE

FTSE sentiment continued to improve on Wednesday, investors buying futures to post a 5th higher daily low in a row and a new 14 year high at 6868.5. Although prices are trading above their 50,100 & 200 day average rates, shorter-term daily sentiment is overstretched and there are clear signs of divergence on momentum, a warning to bulls.

There is no sell signal though, but a loss of momentum leaves today’s outlook negative. The call for Thursday is to sell on the open and at 6865.0, with a stop loss at 6890.0.

Targets are to 6837.0, 6815.0, Tuesday’s low and then 6787.0, this week’s base.