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Commodities were doing well — beating bonds and real estate and keeping up with global equities —until June 2024 (Figure 1). July was a bad month for the asset class and the cross-market volatility...
Well, it looks like the day before yesterday’s implied volatility ramp higher came back to bite the market yesterday. The early IV crush in the VIX 1D went from 21 to 11, sending the S&P 500...
USD/JPY is facing an important test of appetite as the US dollar attempts to a mean-reversal. The pair has been trying to build the momentum to break higher, but buyers have been encountering...
USD: Cautious Powell may give some help to the dollar The latest batch of US data has not firmly argued in favour of a 50bp Federal Reserve rate cut in September, and most FOMC members have also...
The US dollar has been unable to regain the upper hand against the Japanese yen since the US data started to show signs of weakness back in early July. USD/JPY remains over 10% lower from the highs...
Credit spreads remained steady yesterday, but there were notable movements elsewhere. The one-month implied correlation index, which gauges how stocks might move together, increased. At the same...
We discussed the prospect of a low on the Japanese Yen currency several weeks ago. You can see the original chart below. The Japanese Yen did rally off important price support and many assets...
I expect volatility to increase this week, particularly with VIX options expiring on Wednesday. The current VIX option positions suggest that the VIX may remain around the 15 level, which means the...
The round trip in stocks so far this month was perhaps best described by my friend Peter. As measured by the VIX Index, we just witnessed the most extreme stock market swing on record. To some...
In the upcoming week, major currency pairs like GBP/USD, EUR/USD, and USD/JPY could experience significant dollar-driven moves despite a lighter economic calendar. With rising US unemployment and...
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