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FTSE Kicks Off Week Behind European Counterparts

Published 19/02/2018, 09:26

After a positive close in the US on Friday and a strong finish overnight in Asia, bourses across Europe have moved out of the bloc in positive territory. The FTSE is only up a lacklustre 0.07% lagging behind its European counter. Given the US is closed, we are expected a slow start to the week characterised by low volumes.

Trump lashes out on Twitter over Russia Investigation

The Dow and the S&P closed higher on Friday, although off their session highs following the indictment of 13 Russians over interference in the US Presidential elections in 2016. Trump unleashed a series of Tweets lashing out at the FBI, Democrats and Security Chief. Following the incidence, the dollar sold off in in the early part of the Asian session but bounced off 89.00 and is now trading 0.1% higher. Given the US markets are closed for Presidents Day, low volumes and are expected across the day.

Housebuilder tumble on disappointing house price data

Housebuilders are a dominating the lower reaches of the FTSE after Rightmove Housing Index showed a slowing in growth in house prices. The data from Rightmove showed that house prices increased 1.5% year on year in February, up from the 1.6% forecast, however on a monthly basis, prices were up just 0.8%. This is well below the monthly average for this time of year and follows on from a monthly average of 0.7% in January.

We are seeing caution dominate the housing market in a big way – those sellers that can wait are doing just that, in the hope that as Brexit uncertainties clear the housing market will pick up. Overall, these figures are painting a picture of a rather anaemic housing market, which is struggling in the face of Brexit uncertainties.

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Housebuilders are by far the biggest drag on the FTSE this morning with the likes of Taylor Wimpey (LON:TW), Barratt Developments (LON:BDEV) and Berkeley (LON:BKGH) shedding 0.4%, 0.1% and 0.2% respectively.

Sterling eyes BoE Governor Mark Carney

Sterling is seen extending losses in early trade on Monday after a sharp drop at the end of last week. GBP/USD is once again finding solid support at $1.40. With no high impacting data due for release traders will look cautiously across to an appearance by Mark Carney this afternoon, especially given his hawkish tone at the BoE meeting last week. Technically the pair is looking to attack $1.40 on the near term. A move through this level could open the door to $1.3948, the 10 day sma. On the upside GBP/USD needs to clear $1.4146 (Friday high) before moving on to $1.4150.

Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient.

Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warrant that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, the author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does the author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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