EUR/USD edging lower
EUR/USD lies in a short-term bearish momentum. Hourly resistance is given at 1.1961 (27/11/2017 high). Hourly support is given at 1.1809 (30/11/2017 low). Expected to show continued increase.
In the longer term, the momentum is now turning largely positive. We favour a continued bullish bias. Key resistance is holding at 1.2252 (25/12/2014 high) while strong support lies at 1.0341 (03/01/2017 low).
GBP/USD short-term bearish consolidation
GBP/USD has been trading lower over the past few days but the technical structure indicates an extension of bullish momentum. Support is given at a distance at 1.3027 (06/10/2017 low). Expected to show continued increase towards resistance at 1.3657 (20/09/2017 high). The long-term technical pattern is reversing.
The Brexit vote had paved the way for further decline. Long-term support can be found at 1.1841 (07/10/2017 low). Long-term resistance given around 1.35 is at stake and indicates a long-term reversal in the negative trend. Yet, it is very unlikely at the moment.
USD/JPY short-term increase
USD/JPY keeps on pushing higher. The pair has strongly bounced back. Hourly resistance is given at 112.70 (30/11/2017 high).
We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 99.02 (10/08/2013 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 125.86 (05/06/2015 high) seems unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 93.79 (13/06/2013 low).
USD/CHF stalling below 0.9900
USD/CHF has been very volatile lately. The technical structure indicates further downside risks. The pair has failed to hold consistently above the parity. The road is wide-open for further decline. Hourly resistance is given at 0.9882 (30/11/2017 low).
In the long-term, the pair is still trading in range since 2011 despite some turmoil when the SNB unpegged the CHF. Key support can be found 0.8986 (30/01/2015 low). The technical structure favours nonetheless a long term bullish bias since the unpeg in January 2015.
USD/CAD testing support at 1.2667
USD/CAD is testing hourly support lies at 1.2667 (10/11/2017 low). Hourly resistance stands at 1.2917 ( 27/10/2017 high).Expected to show further bearish pressures.
In the longer term, the pair has broken longterm support that can be found at 1.2461 (16/03/2015 low). Strong resistance is given at 1.4690 (22/01/2016 high). The pair is likely to head further lower
AUD/USD the momentum is shifting towards bullish
AUD/USD's momentum is reversing showing that downside pressures are weakening. Hourly resistance is given at a distance at 0.7897 (13/10/2017 high). Expected to show renewed pressures towards key support at 0.7535 (22/06/2017 low).
In the long-term, the trend is turning positive. Key supports stands at 0.6009 (31/10/2008 low) . A break of the key resistance at 0.8164 (14/05/2015 high) is needed to invalidate our long-term bearish view.
EUR/GBP monitoring symmetrical triangle
EUR/GBP is consolidating after the recent collapse. The pair has broken hourly support at 0.8791 (07/11/2017 low). Resistance is located at 0.8943 (27/11/2017 high). Expected to go even lower.
In the long-term, the pair has largely recovered from recent lows in 2015. The technical structure suggests a growing upside momentum. The pair is trading above from its 200 DMA. Strong resistance can be found at 0.9500 (psychological level).
EUR/CHF continued increase
EUR/CHF continues to push towards resistance area above 1.17 and support given at 1.1610 (27/10/2017 low). Expected to show continued increase.
In the longer term, the technical structure has reversed. Strong resistance is given at 1.20 (level before the unpeg). Yet, the ECB's QE programme is likely to cause persistent selling pressures on the euro, which should weigh on EUR/CHF. Supports can be found at 1.0184 (28/01/2015 low) and 1.0082 (27/01/2015 low).
Disclaimer: While every effort has been made to ensure that the datat quoted and used for the research behind this document is reliable, there is no guarantee that it is correct, and Swissquote Bank and its subsidiaries can accept no liability whatsoever in respect of any errors or omissions, or regarding the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. This document does not constitute a recommendation o sell and/or buy any financial products and is not to be considered as a solicitation and/or an offer to enter into any transaction. This document is a piece of economic research and is not intended to constitute investment advice, nor to solicit dealing in securities or in any other kind of investment.
Although every investment involves some degree of risk, the risk of loss trading off-exchange forex contracts can be substantial. Therefore if you are considering trading in this market, you should be aware of the risks associated with this product so you can make informed decisions prior to investing. The material presented here in not to be construed as trading advice or strategy. Swissquote Bank makes a strong effort to use reliable, expansive information, but we make no representation that it is accurate or complete. In addition, we have no obligation to notify you when opinions or data in this material change. Any prices stated in this report are for information purposes only and do not represent valuations for individual securities or other instruments.