EUR/USD Recovery bounce
EUR/USD recovery bounce was short lived suggesting persistent selling pressure. The short-term technical structure is negative as long as prices remain below the hourly resistance at 1.2036 (11/01/2017 low). Next key support and resistance are now given at 1.1560 (07/112017 low) and 1.2323 (17/01/2018 high).
In the longer term, the momentum is turning largely negative. We favor a continued bearish bias. Key resistance is holding at 1.2886 (15/10/2014 high) while strong support lies at 1.1554 (08/11/2017 low
GBP/USD Weak bounce
GBP/USD is trying to bounce near the 1.03324 strong support. Hourly support and resistance are given at 1.3324 (19/12/2017 low) and 1.3458 (11/01/2017 low. The technical structure suggests further downside.
The long-term technical pattern is reversing. The Brexit vote had paved the way for further decline but the pair is moving to 2016 highs. Long-term support and resistance are given at 1.1841 (07/10/2017 low) and 1.5018 (24/06/2016 high).
USD/JPY Consolidation
USD/JPY has breached the key uptrend support at 110.15. The short-term technical structure is negative. Strong support and resistance are located at 108.74 (25/01/2018 low) and 111.48 (18/01/2018 high). The technical structure suggests short-term sideways trading moves.
We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support remains at 101.20 (09/11/2016 low). A gradual rise toward the major resistance at 125.86 (05/06/2015 high) seems unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 101.20 (09/11/2016 low). The pair trades slightly above its 200 DMA.
USD/CHF Sideways
USD/CHF's has broken the support at 0.9916 (26/12/2017 high), validating a bearish reversal pattern with a downside risk at 0.9755. Key support and resistance given at 0.9755 (10/01/2018 low) and 1.0091 (09/05/2017 high) are maintained. The technical structure suggests short-term sideways trading moves.
In the long-term, the pair is still trading in range since 2011 despite some turmoil when the SNB unpegged the CHF. Key support lies at 0.9072 (07/05/2015 low) while resistance at 1.0344 (15/12/2016 high) is distanced. The technical structure favours a long term bullish bias since the unpeg in January 2015.
USD/CAD Bullish rally
USD/CAD continues to improve as can be seen by the bullish move above minor resistance at 1.2949. Hourly support and resistance are given at 1.2621 (23/02/2018 low) and 1.3001 (05/03/2018 high). The technical structure suggests short-term upward moves.
In the longer term, the pair is trading between resistance point at 1.3805 (05/05/2017 high) and support at 1.2128 (18/06/2015 low). Strong resistance is given at 1.4690 (22/01/2016 high). The pair is likely to head lower. The pair is trading above its 200 DMA.
AUD/USD Grinding higher
AUD/USD s moving higher along trendline. Hourly support and resistance remain at 0.7412 (09/05/2018 low) and 0.7813 (19/04/2018 high). The technical structure suggests short-term increase.
In the long-term, the upward trend slows down after failing to reach key resistance at 0.8164 (14/05/2015 low). Key support stands at 0.6009 (31/10/2008 low). A break of the key resistance at 0.8164 (14/05/2015 high) is needed to invalidate our long-term bearish view.
EUR/GBP Bouncing
EUR/GBP has bounced after touching key support at 0.8716. Hourly support and resistance are given at 0.8668 (22/03/2018 low) and 0.8838 (23/02/2018 high). The technical structure suggests short-term upward moves.
In the long-term, the pair has largely recovered from 2015 lows. The technical structure suggests further upside pressure. Strong resistance can be found at 0.9500 (psychological level) while support remains at 0.8304 (05/12/2016 low). The pair is trading below its 200 DMA.
EUR/CHF Bouncing sharply
EUR/CHF has seen a surge in buying interest near the support which favors a longer consolidation phase. Break of support would suggest extension of bearish pressure to key support at 1.1463.
In the longer term, the technical structure has reversed. Strong resistance at 1.20 (level before the unpeg) is now at reach. The ECB's slowing QE program is likely to cause buying pressures on the euro, which should weigh in favour of the EUR/CHF. Support and resistance can be found at 1.0624 (24/06/2016 low) and 1.2097 (18/12/2014 high).
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