Copper: Trend Up?

Published 06/04/2018, 07:21
Updated 09/07/2023, 11:32

Copper

Copper

I am so glad to see this Daily Chart above tidied up. To recap what I thought last time:

There is one other scenario I'd like to mention, I've started to view the whole recent action as a massive curving Topping band. We've moved up and down but we've basically arched. To be clear, we've only recently started to arch over (note Feb's lower high). I'd like to pay more attention to this concept but it will require further market action and time.

So...if you look above, you can see the Bearish turn on over of the 'arc' and how it translated into the Dec 2017 - to Feb 2018 Andrews Pitchfork...notably the Middle Tine (currently 6655).

This Tine is how you can see it running the Bearish angle of attack of the market. At this time we are having a battle between the Bearish AP and the Bullishness of the Long MA (currently 6724). The Long MA is currently pushing things up and we could even go up as far as the recent 50% Fib at 6909 or the Medium MA (currently 6947) but yet still not overcome the Bearishness. It is an interesting time as the Long MA may be the last significant support till the 50% Fib of the May - Dec 2017 move at 6384.

So what would happen if we continue upwards instead? Well, there is a helluva lot of congestion resistance between 7050 and 7150...it would seem unlikely we'd overcome that easily...we would see any such rallies (if they occurred) be eroded by attrition. Given recent action, I've therefore decided to move the bullet point above into mildly Bearish.

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