This week started off without any exciting price action over the past 24 hours or any excess volatility in any of the major instruments we monitor every day. There was little in terms of news or developments during the first session of the week hence what we saw was a continuation of the market themes that drove price action last week.
The US Dollar has recorded moderate gains against some of the major instruments, namely Euro and Gold, after the US jobs report on Friday but the numbers where short of spectacular so no real momentum has developed. At the same time, the focus this week will be on the European currencies with the Euro and the Pound standing to gain against the US Dollar, unless the Retail Sales report strongly surprises and provides lift to the US currency.
From a technical point of view, the Euro is trading just shy of the 1.1200 area this morning after having formed a floor of support around the 1.1130 area yesterday. The main focus for traders on the Euro has to do with Greece and its payment to the IMF and should Athens be able to fulfil their obligations then the Single currency could stand to benefit from a short-term rally higher.
We could see the Euro rallying towards the 1.1300 area but this should not be translated as a longer term development as a strong Retail Sales report from the US could take all that back. Caution is also advised in case the news from Greece are not as positive as expected as a decline below 1.1130 area could trigger stops driving the currency below the 1.1100 area.
The Cable extended its gains yesterday after a strong finish of the week on Friday, the UK currency is reaping the fruits of Tories’ win in the General Election, a development that was received as a positive one for the domestic economy. The Cable is trading just below the 1.5600 barrier this morning and attention now turns to the Inflation Report scheduled for release tomorrow.
There are some doubts on whether the BoE will opt to remain bullish but we believe that the report would focus on the positive developments of the domestic economy, As such the Cable could be in for another extension higher with the 1.5750 area coming into focus.
InvestingBetter.com and/or its owners will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on InvestingBetter.com. InvestingBetter.com does not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.