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Is immigration why employment reports from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continue defying mainstream economists’ estimates? Many are asking this question as the U.S. experiences a flood...
Stocks finished the day lower following the hotter CPI report. The S&P 500 was all over the place, though, trading with big swings. These swings seem to be a sign to me of a market that is...
US inflation came in at 0.4% MoM for the third consecutive month, more than double the rate we need to consistently hit to bring inflation down to 2% YoY. Expectations for a June Federal Reserve...
Interest rate cut expectations have receded everywhere following the US inflation data, but there are subtle dovish incremental shifts within the BoC’s commentary that suggest should inflation...
Here are my thoughts on the European Central Bank's meeting: What to watch What is priced in Whether EURO will hit fresh 2-month lows vs. USD
After a week when the NY/NJ area saw an earthquake, an eclipse, and a gorgeous 75-degree spring day, it is time to get back to work.Today’s CPI report was not expected to be particularly great....
Stocks had a back-and-forth day ahead of today’s CPI report, which could take on some extra weight regarding the outlook for rate cuts.Expectations are for the CPI to rise by 0.3% m/m, down from...
The global economy stands at a crossroads, shaped by unprecedented challenges and innovative responses. This article embarks on a journey through the economic landscapes of the U.S., U.K., and EU,...
It was a dull day for stocks, with the S&P 500 finishing the day slightly lower while rates rose and the US dollar sank. There isn’t much to take away from yesterday except that the VIX and...
We had a solar eclipse in New York today that made me think about trading and Eclipse Trading Tip. Next eclipse is in 20 years in NY - don't wait for trades that happen once every 5, 10, 20 years.
The consensus outlook is still projecting that the Federal Reserve will trim its target interest rate by the end of the year. But as economic growth endures and energy prices rise, market sentiment is...
Gold's surge this year, driven by factors like geopolitical tensions and central bank purchases, may push futures to $2,500. Meanwhile, oil benefits from Middle East tensions and OPEC cuts. Could the...
Post-NFP, the USD seems confused, and hints at potential weakness over the coming days. Metals, Crudes and other commodities are doing really well, while several indices and equities show signs of...
This week will be all about price inflation, with the CPI, PPI, and import/export price reports. CPI is expected to rise by 0.3% m/m, down from 0.4%, while increasing by 3.4% y/y, up from 3.2%....
US economic output is still on a path for a materially softer pace of growth in the first-quarter GDP report scheduled for release at the end of this month.The expansion will be strong enough to...