Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

Social media users claiming to be Bougie Broke share pictures of their fancy cars, high-fashion clothing, and selfies in exotic locations and expensive restaurants. Yet they complain about living...

I must say that I didn’t see this one coming. Credit where credit is due, though: while Street economists were just a little low (consensus was +0.40% headline, +0.30% core), the CPI swap market...

Over the last few years, digital currencies and gold have become decent barometers of speculative investor appetite. Such isn’t surprising given the evolution of the market into a...

Today's spotlight is on the crucial US CPI report, with estimates suggesting potential declines in both the monthly and annual core CPI. Market expectations project a decrease in the annual Core...

BRACED: US inflation is the most important number in markets. And markets seemingly braced for a hot US February inflation print today. After January’s upside surprise and Friday’s...

Friday’s payrolls data for February dispatched another upside surprise, reaffirming the now-consensus view that recession risk is low for the US economy.Hiring rose 275,000 last month, beating...

This week will be dominated by inflation data and the bond auction returning to the 1 PM ET time slot. Today, a 3-year Treasury auction will be at 1 PM ET.Tuesday will release the highly anticipated...

The Biden team keeps talking about how they can’t believe how underwater the President’s poll numbers are when the economy is so frickin’ good. “As soon as people figure out...

Several indicators of investor sentiment are showing rising “greed” levels. And when investors get greedy, it tends to imply that we are nearing a top.But, I am unsure why greed levels are...

US: We see a 0.3% MoM increase in February CPI Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony to Congress was perhaps not quite as hawkish as feared in the wake of strong jobs, growth and...

Presidential elections and market corrections have a long history of companionship. Given the rampant rhetoric between the right and left, such is not surprising. Such is particularly the case over...

Economic activity remains on a path to slow in the next month’s release of first-quarter GDP data, according to the median nowcast via a set of estimates compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.The...

Chinese ‘Year of the Dragon’ may breathe fire back into commodity markets: Commodity outlookCommodities had been under pressure in the past year, but we believe there are several reasons...

Generative AI is already showing up in topline growth Some of the largest US technology companies expect to profit significantly from generative AI. To deploy generative AI on a worldwide scale, we...