Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

In an op-ed for the Washington Post on November 5, 2010, Ben Bernanke did a victory lap, praising the Fed’s efforts in stemming the financial crisis. In the article, he discusses how QE and...

The S&P 500 was down about 1.6% heading into the FOMC meeting and Quarterly Refunding Announcement today. The VIX 1-Day was up 8.3 points to 18.10, which suggests much of the decline yesterday...

The value of modeling recession risk-based multiple indicators is a hardy perennial. The latest example comes by way of aggregating trends in the 50 US state economies for estimating the odds that an...

A brief foray yesterday below the 8150 key level saw 8140 set up a modest bounce that has continued overnight. However, with the bulls lacklustre performance yesterday the FTSE100 has gone bearish on...

Tomorrow, markets expect the Fed to have a similar message as the previous meetings. While rate cuts are highly unlikely, a hawkish surprise from Powell could jolt markets. Watch key indicators like...

In case you missed it, a $5 trillion tax hike looms over American households and businesses in President Joe Biden’s latest budget proposal, which would include a 25% annual minimum tax on...

US markets regained their firm footing as the technology sector grabbed the headlines with some stellar earnings.Inflation and a potential cut in interest rates has been a central debate over the last...

This will be one of the busier weeks of the year with earnings, the Fed, lots of data, and a Treasury Quarterly Refunding announcement. There are many differing views on the QRA, and there is a good...

In Q1 2024, the US crossed the historic milestone of paying over $1 trillion on interest payments. As a consequence of an unprecedented $5 trillion money supply boost since 2020, the US experienced an...

Markets expect rates to be kept unchanged at the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting on 1 May. Data from Refinitiv shows a 97% chance that the Federal Reserve will keep rates at the current...

MON: Spanish Flash CPI (Apr), German Prelim CPI (Apr), EZ Sentiment Survey (Apr); Japan Market Holiday (Showa Day). TUE: FOMC Meeting Commences (Announcement on 1st May), Japanese Retail...

Yesterday’s first-quarter GDP report delivered a one-two punch for markets: slower-than-expected growth and hotter-than-expected inflation. In reaction, stocks fell and US Treasury yields rose....

The latest retail sales data suggests a robust consumer, leading economists to become even more optimistic about more robust economic growth this year. To wit: “It has been two years since...

GDP and PCE inflation data disappointed yesterday. This data raises the question: will it be possible to beat inflation without triggering a recession? Meanwhile, the US dollar has corrected, with...