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Four fairly quick observations on this Federal Reserve meeting day, not all of which have anything to do with the Fed:1. The FOMC today announced unchanged policy for now on the overnight interest...
The sharp runup in US inflation in 2021-2022 revived the idea that a so-called real assets portfolio is crucial for asset allocation strategies.But with the peaking of inflation in mid-2022,...
The Fed added Quantitative Easing (QE) to its monetary policy toolbox in 2008. At the time, the financial system was imploding. Fed Chair Ben Bernanke bought $1.5 trillion U.S. Treasury and...
Markets are on edge ahead of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting. I believe the Fed will lean hawkish with its messaging as inflation fears return. Contrary to the consensus view, there...
It was an implied volatility day yesterday ahead of the VIX expiration this morning. The important level for the VIX is 14, and as of yesterday, the VIX closed at 13.8.Vixperiation officially...
The momentum factor has been revived in recent months, led by powerful rallies among AI-related stocks and Healthcare sector behemoths Two companies, one from each space, hold investor events this...
Following the ECB, all eyes are on the Fed's upcoming interest rate decision, and the US central bank is anticipated to hold rates steady. Our proprietary tool now indicates a near-certainty of the...
TURNAROUNDS: Charlie Munger of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRKa) (BRK.b) once said turning around a struggling business was ten-times harder than people think. Yet it is one of the most popular...
Headline inflation should fall back on Wednesday Food inflation should fall back rapidly Headline inflation should fall below 2% in April or May Services inflation should fall further in the second...
US markets retreated once more ahead of a week where the words, rather than the actions, of the Federal Reserve will take centre stage.The Fed’s two-day policy meeting will begin tomorrow,...
DEBT: The world’s rising debt mountain is a worry, but comes with silver-linings. The bad news is that the mountain grew to over $300 trillion last year. Equal to $39,000/person on the planet....
Week Ahead, March 18-22ndMON: Chinese Retail Sales (Feb), EZ Final CPI (Feb) TUE: BoJ Announcement, RBA Announcement; German ZEW Survey (Mar), Canadian CPI (Feb) WED: FOMC Announcement, PBoC LPR, BCB...
The Fed is expected to maintain interest rates at its March 20 meeting. Recent U.S. inflation reports have reduced expectations for a rate cut by June. Nike & FedEx to report Q3 earnings on March...
A new round of nowcasts continue to estimate that US economic activity will downshift in next month’s release of first-quarter GDP data. Today’s revised estimate is based on the median for...
Stocks finished the day lower following a hotter-than-expected PPI report, which sharply increased rates and the dollar, helping widen credit spreads.The 10-year rate rose by ten bps on the day, and...