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Several indicators of investor sentiment are showing rising “greed” levels. And when investors get greedy, it tends to imply that we are nearing a top.But, I am unsure why greed levels are...
US: We see a 0.3% MoM increase in February CPI Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony to Congress was perhaps not quite as hawkish as feared in the wake of strong jobs, growth and...
Presidential elections and market corrections have a long history of companionship. Given the rampant rhetoric between the right and left, such is not surprising. Such is particularly the case over...
Economic activity remains on a path to slow in the next month’s release of first-quarter GDP data, according to the median nowcast via a set of estimates compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.The...
Chinese ‘Year of the Dragon’ may breathe fire back into commodity markets: Commodity outlookCommodities had been under pressure in the past year, but we believe there are several reasons...
Generative AI is already showing up in topline growth Some of the largest US technology companies expect to profit significantly from generative AI. To deploy generative AI on a worldwide scale, we...
In this episode, our team delves into the stark differences between two of Wall Street's heavyweights and their conflicting predictions for the future of US stocks. We also uncover the driving forces...
Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to testify in the House today (Wed., Mar. 6) and markets will be all ears on topics that offer guidance on the outlook for interest-rate cuts.The current consensus...
PROXY: With Q4 earnings season almost over, focus will shift to shareholder annual general meetings and ‘proxy voting’ season. This ramps up to a May peak and is one of the most important...
Stocks fell sharply yesterday, ahead of Jay Powell’s testimony today. It would be great if Powell acknowledged how much financial conditions have eased and that easing conditions could undermine...
In late 2022, I often said that while I didn’t think it would be severe I figured we would have a recession in 2023 because we had never seen an energy spike at the same time that the Fed was...
Though the economy is stable and markets are bullish by definition of price trends, the underpinning is anything but healthy.The U.S. national debt is rising by $1 trillion about every 100 daysOf...
Despite a slight slowdown, the economy continues to thrive and the chances of a rate cut at the March 20 meeting stand at a minuscule 2%. In this piece, we will consider the recent statements from...
BULL MARKET: The start of a bull market has many definitions, from a 20% gain off lows to the more broadly accepted new all-time-high. The S&P 500 met this on January 19th and has...
Bitcoin and gold were both top of mind at last week’s 2024 Investment U Conference in Ojai, California, which I had the privilege of presenting at. There was a rumor circulating that the Bitcoin...