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UK public's inflation expectations fall again in March - Citi/Yougov survey shows

Published 28/03/2024, 17:40
Updated 28/03/2024, 18:32
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A customer waits to be served at a stall on Surrey Street market in Croydon, south London, Britain, February 26, 2024. REUTERS/Hannah McKay/File photo

LONDON (Reuters) -The British public's expectations for inflation over the next year and the longer term fell in March, U.S. bank Citi said on Thursday as it published a monthly survey by market research firm YouGov.

Citi said public expectations for inflation in 12 months' time fell to 3.3% in March from 3.6% in February, while expectations for the five- to 10-year period fell to 3.4% from 3.5%.

"At the start of 2024, reporting around shipping disruption, as well as risks to energy supplies, once again likely drove these data higher," Citi economist Benjamin Nabarro said in a note to clients about the Yougov (LON:YOU) survey.

"It is encouraging to see these numbers falling relatively quickly."

Data from Citi/Yougov for February also showed a fall in the public's inflation expectations.

The falling trend in the public's inflation expectations should provide further encouragement to the BoE's monetary policy committee that second-round effects of inflation are fading, Nabarro added.

Data last week showed British inflation slowed to 3.4%, the lowest since September 2021, raising expectations that the Bank of England could start cutting interest rates in the months ahead.

Latest comments

Expectations mean nothing when oil is rising… inflation is being driven up by NATO sponsored wars, benifitting US oil profits.
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