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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Jeremy Grime
Daily Grime - Bonds; Forex By Jeremy Grime - Nov 05, 2019

BondsIt seems the best time to be long of bonds was 1981, when few pension funds were. Now would not seem to be a good time to be long of bonds. In 2000, in aggregate 70% of UK pension funds were...

David Cheetham
Sentiment Takes A Hit On Trade Concerns By David Cheetham - Oct 31, 2019

There’s been a broad risk-off move seen in the markets this morning after the latest comments from Beijing suggested that investors may be getting a little bit ahead of themselves in assuming a...

Jeroen Blokland
Duration Can Also Work Against You By Jeroen Blokland - Oct 30, 2019

Bond yields have been going up lately, with the United States 10-Year Treasury yield rising to above 1.83%, up from 1.50% in early October. The German bund is up to -0.34% from below -0.70% in early...

Joe Perry
Another Look At The U.S. Yield Curve By Joe Perry - Oct 23, 2019

In early September, we discussed how the yield curve briefly turned negative. The yield curve we referenced was the difference between the US 10-year yield and the US 2-year yield. Why was this such...

Jeroen Blokland
A USD 4 Trillion Move By Jeroen Blokland - Oct 22, 2019

Global bond yields have been rising recently, thanks to progress on two yield-depressing events: Brexit and the US-China trade war.The ECB possibly reaching peak monetary easing may have contributed...

John Burford
Are U.S. Interest Rates Really Going Higher? By John Burford - Sep 22, 2019

Last week the ECB and Fed did their monthly thing by getting hordes of analysts scurrying around trying to guess what they would do. In the end, nothing much changed. The Fed was forced to bring the...

Jeroen Blokland
Italian Troubles By Jeroen Blokland - Aug 09, 2019

It looks like Italy’s awkward coalition will come to an end soon. Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini, who has been advancing strongly in the polls in recent months, is aiming for...

Jeroen Blokland
Oops, He Did It Again! By Jeroen Blokland - Aug 05, 2019

Trade talks between China and the US are scheduled to resume later this month, but that didn’t prevent President Trump from announcing a 10% tariff on a further USD 300 billion in Chinese...

Jeroen Blokland
Italy - Sheer Interest Rate Magic By Jeroen Blokland - Jul 19, 2019

Italy's 10-Year bond yield has dropped more than two percentage points in less than nine months. In October of last year, the Italian bond yield reached 3.69%; now it’s down to 1.54%. This has...

Peter Rosenstreich
Lagarde’s 'Whatever It Takes' ECB By Peter Rosenstreich - Jul 04, 2019

Unorthodox monetary policy since the post-financial crisis has always generated controversy. To ensure economic and financial stability during the financial crisis central banks expanded their tools...

Fawad Razaqzada
How Low Can Yields Go? By Fawad Razaqzada - Jul 03, 2019

Well, very low if the trend of disappointing macro data continues…As bond prices rise and yields fall, yield-seeking investors’ default position is to continue favouring equities over...

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