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Earlier in the week with yields sitting at 1.94%, we pondered whether or not 10-year yields could push above 2%. Currently that answer is no, as price has broken back through support at 1.91% and is...
The US bond market is closed today in recognition of Veteran’s Day, so this is a good time to take a look at yields and try and determine where they may be headed next.The Fed is on hold (so...
BondsIt seems the best time to be long of bonds was 1981, when few pension funds were. Now would not seem to be a good time to be long of bonds. In 2000, in aggregate 70% of UK pension funds were...
There’s been a broad risk-off move seen in the markets this morning after the latest comments from Beijing suggested that investors may be getting a little bit ahead of themselves in assuming a...
Bond yields have been going up lately, with the United States 10-Year Treasury yield rising to above 1.83%, up from 1.50% in early October. The German bund is up to -0.34% from below -0.70% in early...
In early September, we discussed how the yield curve briefly turned negative. The yield curve we referenced was the difference between the US 10-year yield and the US 2-year yield. Why was this such...
Global bond yields have been rising recently, thanks to progress on two yield-depressing events: Brexit and the US-China trade war.The ECB possibly reaching peak monetary easing may have contributed...
Last week the ECB and Fed did their monthly thing by getting hordes of analysts scurrying around trying to guess what they would do. In the end, nothing much changed. The Fed was forced to bring the...
An inversion of the 2 year and 10-year bond yield curves in the previous session sent panic across the markets. The DOW closed down 800 points, below its 200-day moving average as investors sold out...
It looks like Italy’s awkward coalition will come to an end soon. Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini, who has been advancing strongly in the polls in recent months, is aiming for...
Trade talks between China and the US are scheduled to resume later this month, but that didn’t prevent President Trump from announcing a 10% tariff on a further USD 300 billion in Chinese...
Core euro zone government bond yields slid towards all-time lows after data showed that a recession in German manufacturing had worsened, prompting investors to increase bets on a more dovish European...
Italy's 10-Year bond yield has dropped more than two percentage points in less than nine months. In October of last year, the Italian bond yield reached 3.69%; now it’s down to 1.54%. This has...
Unorthodox monetary policy since the post-financial crisis has always generated controversy. To ensure economic and financial stability during the financial crisis central banks expanded their tools...
Well, very low if the trend of disappointing macro data continues…As bond prices rise and yields fall, yield-seeking investors’ default position is to continue favouring equities over...