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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 3.2x - 3.5x | 3.3x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 3.2x - 3.5x | 3.3x |
| Fair Value | ₹85.58 - ₹96.05 | ₹90.81 |
| Upside | -18.6% - -8.7% | -13.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Allcargo Logistics Limited | ALLCARGO | NSEI:ALLCARGO |
| Starlog Enterprises Limited | 520155 | BSE:520155 |
| JITF Infralogistics Limited | JITFINFRA | NSEI:JITFINFRA |
| Markolines Pavement Technologies Limited | 543364 | BSE:543364 |
| Allcargo Terminals Limited | ATL | NSEI:ATL |
| Navkar Corporation Limited | NAVKARCORP | NSEI:NAVKARCORP |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ALLCARGO | 520155 | JITFINFRA | 543364 | ATL | NAVKARCORP | |||
| NSEI:ALLCARGO | BSE:520155 | NSEI:JITFINFRA | BSE:543364 | NSEI:ATL | NSEI:NAVKARCORP | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 13.8% | -37.0% | 41.3% | 36.5% | NM- | -1.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 7.9% | -58.2% | 52.3% | 30.1% | NM- | -13.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.5% | 24.5% | -5.4% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 19.9% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.4% | -18.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.7% | -12.4% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 13.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.7% | -73.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.7% | -36.0% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | -0.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.29x | 7.82x | 1.44x | 0.99x | 1.15x | 3.46x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 44.1x | -21.8x | 11.6x | 11.9x | 12.1x | -2557.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.19x | 7.01x | 0.35x | 0.87x | 0.74x | 3.04x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.29x | 1.15x | 7.82x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.31x | 1.47x | 3.66x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 3.17x | 3.34x | 3.50x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 5,040 | 5,040 | 5,040 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 15,981 | 16,822 | 17,663 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,095) | (2,095) | (2,095) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 13,886 | 14,727 | 15,568 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 150.5 | 150.5 | 150.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 92.26 | 97.84 | 103.43 | |||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 92.26 | 97.84 | 103.43 | 105.15 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -12.3% | -6.9% | -1.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ALLCARGO | 520155 | JITFINFRA | 543364 | ATL | NAVKARCORP | |
| Enterprise Value | 42,988 | 1,031 | 41,516 | 3,303 | 8,497 | 17,922 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 8,102 | 11 | 3,331 | 3 | 1,045 | 21 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (21,941) | (73) | (34,828) | (558) | (4,019) | (2,116) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 29,149 | 969 | 10,019 | 2,902 | 5,523 | 15,827 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 982.8 | 12.0 | 25.7 | 22.0 | 245.7 | 150.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 29.66 | 81.00 | 389.80 | 131.90 | 22.48 | 105.15 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 29.66 | 81.00 | 389.80 | 131.90 | 22.48 | 105.15 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |