Jeld-Wen Holding Inc. reported its Q1 2025 earnings, revealing a mixed financial performance that included a slight earnings beat but significant revenue decline. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of -0.17, surpassing the forecasted -0.19. Revenue came in at $776 million, slightly above the expected $769.25 million. According to InvestingPro data, the company operates with a significant debt burden and may face challenges making interest payments, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.13. Despite these beats, the stock experienced a sharp decline, falling 21.85% in premarket trading to $4.40, reflecting investor concerns over broader market challenges and the company’s heavy reliance on the North American market.
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Key Takeaways
- Slight EPS and revenue beat against forecasts.
- Stock dropped 21.85% in premarket trading.
- Revenue declined 19% year-over-year.
- Withdrawn full-year guidance due to market uncertainty.
- Significant operational restructuring and cost-saving initiatives underway.
Company Performance
Jeld-Wen Holding faced a challenging quarter, with a 19% year-over-year decline in revenue to $776 million. The company’s North American segment, which accounts for a significant portion of its business, saw a 22% drop in revenue. The European segment also faced a decline, albeit at a lesser rate of 12%. The company is navigating a tough macroeconomic environment characterized by high interest rates and low consumer confidence.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: $776 million, down 19% year-over-year.
- Adjusted EBITDA: $22 million, a $47 million decrease from the previous year.
- EBITDA Margin: 2.8%.
- Free Cash Flow: Negative $125 million, including $42 million in capital investments.
- Net Debt Leverage Ratio: 4.6x, above the target range of 2.0-2.5x.
Earnings vs. Forecast
Jeld-Wen reported an EPS of -0.17, beating the forecast of -0.19. Revenue was also slightly higher than expected at $776 million compared to the forecasted $769.25 million. The earnings beat was minor, and the revenue beat was largely overshadowed by the significant year-over-year decline.
Market Reaction
Following the earnings release, Jeld-Wen’s stock plummeted 21.85% in premarket trading, falling to $4.40. This sharp decline reflects investor apprehension about the company’s future amid a challenging economic landscape and its substantial revenue drop. InvestingPro data shows the stock has fallen over 70% in the past year and 48% in the last six months alone. The stock’s value is now closer to its 52-week low of $4.91, far from the high of $20.20.
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Outlook & Guidance
Due to market volatility and uncertainty, Jeld-Wen withdrew its full-year guidance. However, the company anticipates Q2 Adjusted EBITDA to be slightly above Q1 levels. They also expect a $30 million tariff impact in 2025, with plans to pass these costs onto customers.
Executive Commentary
CEO Bill Christensen highlighted the challenging macroeconomic environment, stating, "We are currently navigating an exceptionally challenging macroeconomic environment." He also emphasized the company’s strategic focus, saying, "Despite the ongoing market turbulence, we are executing diligently on the next phase of our strategic plan."
Risks and Challenges
- High interest rates affecting consumer spending.
- Declining new home builder traffic.
- Elevated net debt leverage ratio.
- Potential global recession with an estimated 50% probability.
- Impact of tariffs, with plans to pass costs onto customers.
Q&A
During the earnings call, analysts inquired about the company’s tariff mitigation strategies and balance sheet concerns. Jeld-Wen addressed these by detailing their cost reduction initiatives and transformation plans aimed at achieving $100 million in ongoing benefits.
Overall, Jeld-Wen Holding Inc.’s Q1 2025 earnings report reflects the company’s struggle with a tough economic climate, despite minor beats in EPS and revenue forecasts. Analyst consensus from InvestingPro shows mixed sentiment, with price targets ranging from $5.00 to $10.50. The significant drop in stock price underscores investor concerns about the company’s ability to navigate these challenges. Based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, the stock currently appears undervalued despite its challenges.
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Full transcript - Jeld-Wen Holding Inc (JELD) Q1 2025:
Kaila, Conference Operator: Thank you for standing by. My name is Kaila, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I’d like to welcome everyone to the GelDwyn Holding, Inc. First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise.
After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question and answer session. I would now like to turn the call over to James Armstrong, Investor Relations. You may begin.
James Armstrong, Investor Relations, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Thank you, and good morning. We issued our first quarter twenty twenty five earnings release last night and posted a slide presentation to the Investor Relations portion of our website, which can be found at investors.geldwin.com. We will be referencing this presentation during our call. Today, I am joined by Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer and Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer. Before I turn it over to Bill, I would like to remind everyone that during this call, we will make certain statements that constitute forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
These statements are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties, including those set forth in our earnings release and provided in our Forms 10 ks and 10 Q filed with the SEC. Geldron does not undertake any duty to update forward looking statements, including the guidance we are providing with respect to certain expectations for future results. Additionally, during today’s call, we will discuss non GAAP measures, which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance. The presentation of this additional information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with GAAP. A reconciliation of these non GAAP measures to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated under GAAP can be found in our earnings release and in the appendix of our earnings presentation.
With that, I would like to now turn the call over to Bill.
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Thank you, James, and good morning, everyone. Before we begin, I want to take a moment to express my sincere appreciation to our employees. Your continued dedication, adaptability and focus have been essential to the progress of our transformation, enabling us to consistently deliver for our customers even in the face of significant market challenges. I also want to thank our customers for their ongoing trust and collaboration as we jointly navigate this highly dynamic market environment. The strength of these partnerships is critical to our long term success and we remain fully committed to providing the exceptional quality, dependable service and product reliability that you have come to expect from Geldron.
Today, I’ll start by providing a high level overview of the quarter, after which Samantha will discuss our detailed financial performance and outline the impacts of the evolving tariff situation. Following Samantha’s remarks, I’ll return to offer further insights into current market dynamics and our approach to managing them. Turning to Slide four and our first quarter highlights. The soft demand environment and corresponding adjusted EBITDA performance we anticipated during our previous earnings call largely materialized as expected. Volume pressures intensified notably during the quarter with both our North America and Europe segments experiencing double digit volume declines.
Further complicating this landscape, tariffs have introduced additional planning uncertainty into our market outlook. As a result of this significant short term volatility, we are withdrawing our full year guidance. Despite these challenges, we remain focused on controlling factors within our direct influence. We continue to successfully advance our transformation projects, achieving important milestones and operational improvements as well as safety. We also announced two additional network changes since the beginning of this year in Grinnell, Iowa and Chiloquin, Oregon.
However, as Samantha will detail shortly, even with recent reductions in headcount, we have faced ongoing productivity headwinds as costs have not decreased at the pace required to fully offset the lower demand levels experienced in the first quarter. To address this gap, we are taking steps to align our operations with current order rates while actively pursuing additional opportunities to strengthen our partnerships with key customers in support of focused growth initiatives. With that, I’ll hand it over to Samantha to review our financial results in greater detail.
Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Thank you, Bill. Turning to slide six, as Bill noted, the first quarter was indeed challenging. However, our results were largely in line with our prior expectations. Revenue for the first quarter was $776,000,000 representing a 19 decline year over year. Of this decline, approximately 15% was due to lower core revenues, reflecting anticipated volume reductions across both our North America and Europe segments.
The remaining 4% primarily resulted from the court ordered divestiture of our Towanda operations, which also negatively impacted our year over year comparisons. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter came in at $22,000,000 a decrease of $47,000,000 compared to the prior year. This was mainly driven by significantly lower volumes and slightly unfavorable mix, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.8%. Turning to cash flow. Free cash flow was a use of $125,000,000 in the first quarter, including $42,000,000 in capital investments.
This compares to a $46,000,000 use of cash in the first quarter of twenty twenty four. The year over year decline was primarily driven by lower EBITDA combined with unfavorable working capital dynamics. Specifically, working capital was a $30,000,000 use of cash this quarter compared to a contribution of $22,000,000 in the first quarter of twenty twenty four, primarily related to the timing of accounts receivable last year. Additionally, in the first quarter, we received approximately $110,000,000 of net proceeds from the court ordered divestiture of our Towanda facility. Given the pressure from lower EBITDA and continued investment in our transformation initiative, our net debt leverage ratio increased to 4.6 times.
This level of leverage exceeds our targeted range of two to 2.5 times, and reducing leverage remains one of my highest priorities. To accomplish this, we remain intensely focused on driving EBITDA improvement, exercising disciplined capital allocation and carefully managing working capital as we progress through 2025 and beyond. As shown on Slide seven, the first quarter revenue decline was primarily driven by a 16% decrease in volume and mix, about half which was due to the carryover of the loss of business at the Midwest retailer and the court ordered divestiture of Towanda, with the other half associated with ongoing market declines. While product mix had a more pronounced impact in prior quarters, it has now largely stabilized, and the current revenue pressure is predominantly related to continued weakness in volumes. Additionally, revenue was negatively impacted by the divestiture of our Towanda operations as well as the modest headwinds from unfavorable foreign currency translation associated with the Canadian dollar.
In a few moments, I’ll provide additional context and more detailed insights into the underlying market trends affecting our North America and Europe segments. As shown on slide eight, adjusted EBITDA declined by $47,000,000 year over year, primarily reflecting the significant volume declines experienced during the quarter. As anticipated, we continued to face notable cost pressures from labor and material inflation, resulting in negative price cost dynamics. Additionally, the lower volume levels created operational inefficiencies across our manufacturing network, further weighing on overall productivity and EBITDA performance. Moving to our segment results on Slide nine.
Our North America segment reported revenue of $531,000,000 for the first quarter, representing a 22% decline compared to the prior year. Of this, core revenues decreased by 17%, primarily driven by lower volume. Unlike last year, when product mix significantly impacted results, first quarter’s decline was predominantly driven by volume reduction. Adjusted EBITDA for North America declined to $16,000,000 compared to $61,000,000 in the same quarter last year. This decrease reflects the negative impacts of lower volume, slightly unfavorable price cost dynamics and productivity challenges resulting from the reduced manufacturing throughput.
In Europe, revenue for the first quarter was $245,000,000 down 12% year over year, driven almost entirely by lower volume. Adjusted EBITDA was $11,000,000 a decline of $4,000,000 from the prior year, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 4.3%. While we achieved productivity improvements in the region, they only partially offset the adverse impacts from reduced volume and modestly negative pricecost pressures. Before I hand it back to Bill, I’d like to briefly address a topic we know is top of mind for many investors: tariffs. Turning to Slide 10, we provide a detailed breakdown of our estimated tariff exposure by country based on current tariff rates.
At today’s tariff levels, we anticipate an annualized impact of approximately $55,000,000 with roughly $30,000,000 of this amount expected to affect our 2025 results. Importantly, we expect to offset these tariff costs by passing them through to our customers, though we anticipate minor timing related impacts in the second quarter. As illustrated in the graph, we remain relatively well positioned with regard to direct material costs with only 13% of our Tier one and Tier two supplier spend currently exposed to potential tariffs. Additionally, direct material sourcing from China represents less than 1% of our total material spend. The total exposure, including our Tier two suppliers, is closer to 5%.
We believe our limited direct exposure provides us a relative advantage in the near term. However, should tariff levels stabilize, we expect significant activity in our sector to optimize supply chains and adapt to the new market dynamics, but this will not happen overnight. That said, this remains a highly fluid and evolving situation. We remain focused on planning proactively and maintaining flexibility. Again, we anticipate recovering the majority of tariff related costs.
However, the demand implications are unpredictable given the unprecedented nature of this situation. With that, I’ll turn it back over to Bill, who will now provide further details on our updated market outlook.
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Thanks Samantha. We are currently navigating an exceptionally challenging macroeconomic environment. Interest rates remain elevated. Consumer confidence has declined to levels comparable only to those seen during the pandemic and the early 1980s. Affordability remains a key topic.
New homebuilder traffic did not experience the typical seasonal spring increase, and many economists now estimate that the likelihood of a global recession is approximately 50%. These conditions have already begun to weigh heavily on new home construction and continue to put further pressure on repair and remodel activity. Despite these significant headwinds, we remain focused on controlling the factors we can control as outlined on Slide 12. First, we are actively enhancing our production capabilities to improve both quality and lead times. At our Kissimmee, Florida facility for example, which was impacted by volume shifts related to our network consolidation as a receiving site, we recently completed a focused ten week sprint.
This sprint resulted in substantial improvements in both product quality and our on time in full performance metrics. While there is still room for further improvement, the facility is on track to meet our targeted goals this quarter. Second, we are adapting swiftly to meet the involving needs of new homebuilders. Given ongoing affordability concerns, we are collaborating closely with select builders to help reduce their total costs and enhance their service experience. These targeted efforts have already enabled us to secure meaningful new business, placing us ahead of our internal plan for the first quarter of this year.
Nevertheless, we see further opportunities to increase our relatively low market share among new builders. Finally, we have made difficult but necessary decisions to significantly reduce headcount during the quarter. By consolidating workflows and further optimizing staffing levels, we continue to adapt our workforce to the realities of our current business environment. However, additional efforts are required, particularly regarding direct labor and we are moving rapidly to address these productivity challenges. Turning to Slide 13.
Despite the decisive actions we continue to take as a company, market uncertainty has recently increased significantly. As we see it, the broad range of outcomes in the economy yields a wide distribution of potential outcomes for Building Products as well as our business. That being said, we do want to provide some clarity around near term expectations and anticipate that our second quarter adjusted EBITDA will be slightly above first quarter levels. Although we continue to experience softer than expected demand in our North America operations across both new construction and the repair and remodel segments, our cost reduction initiatives are rapidly taking effect and helping offset some of this pressure. We remain focused on cash flow maintenance and generation in light of the increased probability of a potential recession.
We continue to fully commit to the transformation journey and have taken significant cost out of the business. We believe this will both position us well for the future and allow us to weather any coming turbulence this year. In addition, we expect our transformation initiatives this year to achieve approximately $100,000,000 in ongoing transformation benefits and $50,000,000 of additional benefits from short term actions with about 40% of the total benefits realized in the first half of the year and the remaining 60% in the second half. Consistent with our strategic plan, we still anticipate investing approximately $150,000,000 in capital expenditures this year as we continue to further strengthen the business and position us effectively for the future. Despite the ongoing market turbulence, we are executing diligently on the next phase of our strategic plan positioning JELD WEN effectively for long term success.
Turning to Slide 14, I would like to reiterate our three key strategic priorities. First, we continue to reestablish strong partnerships with our customers. We are actively enhancing our service levels across all parts of our business, reducing lead times and doing so safely, demonstrated by meaningful year over year improvements in our safety metrics. By consistently emphasizing safety, quality and on time delivery and linking variable compensation to these critical metrics, we are increasingly able to deliver precisely what customers expect, the right product with the right quality on time and in full. Second, we are optimizing our manufacturing and distribution network.
The recent market challenges underscore that we still have excess capacity with too many facilities operating below optimal utilization levels. We are taking a disciplined and strategic approach to realigning our long term operational footprint, carefully balancing the right level of capacity with the need to minimize disruption and improve customer service. Finally, we are continuing to invest in automation to drive efficiency and reduce costs. As we have noted previously, historical underinvestment has resulted in a fragmented and inefficient network. We remain committed to investing in automation and process improvements to enhance productivity, reduce complexity and strengthen our competitive position.
Entering 2025, we anticipated challenging market conditions. However, the magnitude of disruption we are currently experiencing in global markets and its potential impact on consumer demand for doors and windows has exceeded our initial expectations. In response, we are focused on measures to adapt quickly to these market realities while still maintaining our commitment to long term improvement of GELD WEN’s financial performance. I remain incredibly proud of our team’s dedication and hard work. We continue investing in the right systems, processes and people to drive sustainable long term value creation.
I’m confident in our team’s ability to navigate the current challenges effectively and I firmly believe we will be well positioned once markets stabilize and return to growth. Thank you once again for your continued support and interest. With that, I’ll now turn the call back over to James for the Q and A.
James Armstrong, Investor Relations, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Thanks, Bill. Operator, we are now ready to begin Q and A.
Kaila, Conference Operator: Our first question comes from the line of John Lovallo with UBS. Your line is open.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: Good morning, guys. Thank you for taking my questions. The first one is how confident are you in your ability to pass along the $30,000,000 in 2025 tariff impact to your customers? I mean price cost is flat to negative across your business pre tariff. Customers are obviously large and growing.
So I’m curious your ability to pass it along. And are there any other initiatives that you’re taking in terms of mitigation actions?
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Good morning, John. So, you know, we are in constant negotiation with our key customers as the tariff reality evolves. We we have a great internal team that has been working almost around the clock when this was all being structured to really try and define what are the opportunities that we have, but also what are the challenges in our sales organization is in in close contact with our customer base. Obviously, a lot of our customers are being faced with multiple, inbound requests on different, product cost increases. So negotiations are going well.
I think the the big issue, John, is the certainty around what what are the corridors that will stick longer term and how how many more changes are coming. So we’re remaining as agile as possible when we’re thinking through, the long term implications of our sourcing cost base, and we’re already working with some of our key suppliers on reshoring opportunities. And we are on shoring, capacity that we have available to create maybe in the short term a higher cost base, but longer term a lower cost base because it’s domestically sourced. So we don’t see significant challenges in getting the surcharges into the market, because at the end of the day, this is something that, you know, I the the whole market is gonna have to work together, to be as effective as possible. We continue to invest in a lot of the initiatives that are taking cost out of our system and making ourselves more effective, and that’s the counterbalance for us.
So it’s basically two levers, working with our customers to pass through surcharges, but at the same time, to optimize our cost structure. And that’s why the investments remain elevated to make sure we’re doing as much as we can to balance. And I think the big issue right now is maybe not the near term, it’s the longer term and the uncertainty in the second order, that the tariffs could potentially have on on demand, in the channel. And that’s, you know, I think the bigger issue that people are really trying to figure out what’s the cone of probability. And it’s extremely challenging to define that given the current reality of uncertainty.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: Okay. Understood. And then on average 2Q EBITDA has historically improved, call it 40% to 50% quarter over quarter from the first quarter. I mean how should we sort of think about the freezing of your outlook that 2Q EBITDA will be slightly better seasonally compared to the first quarter in the context of that historical number? And how should we also think about sales quarter to quarter from 1Q to 2Q?
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Yes. So I mean I think you’re thinking about it correctly, John. You know, as we look at it, typically, experience a seasonal uptick in two q versus one q. It was very muted last year. It was there, but it was very soft.
We are not seeing a significant rebound this year. That would be typical with kind of a spring reload for a summer build. So I think that’s the first message. The second message is we we would expect the seasonal uptick, albeit off of a a low base. And, you know, if we look at kinda how things were tracking, Samantha went through some of the some of the details on our q one sales down roughly 19%.
We we see similar rates as we’re rolling into April. So it’s it’s muted, the rebound, and I think that has to do with the uncertainty. So we’re thinking that there will be a quarter over quarter uptick, but off of a lower base. And maybe Samantha has some more detail on that for you.
Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Thanks, John. I I think in terms of this year looking into q two, I agree with everything Bill shared, but we haven’t really seen a lot of the tariff related impact into the demand in q one. You know, we saw, I would say, in April, again, more muted activity and demand than we would have expected. And just given where we are in the year and the range of the different outcomes, we wanna be able to provide as much commentary on the near term where we have the most visibility.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: Got it. Thank you, guys.
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Alright. Thanks, John.
Kaila, Conference Operator: And your next question comes from the line of Phil Ng with Jefferies. Your line is open.
Phil Ng, Analyst, Jefferies: Hey guys. Appreciate all the good color in a uncertain macro backdrop. Bill, it was encouraging to hear you say you’re expecting the $150,000,000 in mitigation actions and transformation and cost out to kind of still kick in. The flow through in the first half seems relatively muted. How should we think about dropping through in the back half?
Appreciating volumes did have an impact in 1Q productivity was negative. Just kind of help us think through that flow through in the back half.
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Yeah. So I think roughly forty sixty, Phil. So 40 h 60% h two. Reason why it’s loaded more to h two is some of the cost measures. So, again, we have a hundred of transformation and 50 of On top cost.
A number of those measures were actioned at the end of January, so those start dropping into two q and as we roll forward through the rest of the year. I think the one the one big variable, and and you hit it, Phil, on really us being able to capture the hundred million of transformation benefit is, you know, how do volumes develop because there are some productivity assumptions in there based on volumes as we roll forward. And as we’ve said in the prepared remarks, a number of our sites still remain, underutilized. And with the limited rebound, we think that there’s, you know, gonna be a challenging back half situation, and, potentially, we’re gonna see negative underlying productivity just based on that reality. Hard for us to really pinpoint it, but we still feel confident in the transformation.
We’re tracking it diligently and the additional 50, as I said, we’ve taken a lot of action in one q that will start dropping.
Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: You can also see, Phil, you know, in terms of the corporate costs, we were able to action that earlier in the year, and you’re starting to see that materialize in q one. Expect that to continue in q two through q four. When it comes to, you know, kind of the the other cost actions, we talked about the plant related actions in two plants that we’ve announced shut down so far this year. So you will see that benefit in the, you know, the latter half of the year. Unfortunately, to Bill’s point, because of the volume uncertainty and how that implies with our capacity, we would see a negative productivity underlying.
That would be in addition to the cost actions that we’re actively pursuing.
Phil Ng, Analyst, Jefferies: Okay. You know, appreciating dynamic environment, Sam. Your leverage was, call it, four and a half times in in one q. You’re not calling for much of the seasonal improvement in earnings going to two q. I mean, the quick math kinda implies leverage could be as high as high single digits.
So kind of help us think through how you’re kind of managing that liquidity risk and and what are some of the options you have to kind of improve your balance sheet in the near to medium term?
Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Sure. So first, I I wanna address the leverage comment. You know, our lending base does not have restrictive covenants, so we do not have issues from that standpoint. However, we do realize that that’s an unacceptable level, and we are closely managing both working capital as well as diligently reviewing every single CapEx request. We have not cut back at this point on CapEx because you can see the benefits from a cost action standpoint of our investment in the transformation.
But we are redoing every single project to make sure that it fits within our strategy and it has the payback necessary. We’re also, as we talked about prior, evaluating potential options like a sale leaseback, or other asset sales to further strengthen our balance sheet. But I wanna make sure everyone understands that we have ample liquidity liquidity for the foreseeable future, including our undrawn revolver. So from that standpoint, we feel we are in a good standpoint. We’re managing our cash appropriately, and we’re continuing to evaluate options that will further strengthen.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: Okay. Appreciate the color.
Trevor Allinson, Analyst, Wolfe Research: Thanks, Bill.
Kaila, Conference Operator: And your next question comes from the line of Susan Maklari with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.
Susan Maklari, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Good morning, everyone.
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Morning, Susan.
Susan Maklari, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Good morning. My first question is thinking about your position as a largely U. S. Based producer for your North America operations.
Are you seeing or thinking about the potential that that could help you regain some share in the market? Have you heard anything from customers initially? And any thoughts maybe on how some of those benefits could come through over time?
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: So I think the short answer is yes, We see opportunity. I think the longer answer is it’s highly complex currently, Susan, given the uncertain nature of tariff corridors and magnitude. There there are a few areas, specifically, I’ll name one just to highlight fiberglass doors. There’s been a pretty significant uptake in imports, Asian imports on the lower end. And obviously, the tariff levels that are currently in place and potentially going to hang around for a while, it makes those products extremely prohibitive from a price standpoint in the domestic market.
Clear ourselves and others are domestic domestic manufacturers of fiberglass doors, so there’s clearly opportunities there. And we have been investing significantly in a number of our component manufacturing sites, so that’s also opportunity that we’re already utilizing to pull some offshore components back onshore. So I do think that there’s opportunity. I think it will take a while to settle, and I think a couple of things need to happen. Number one, ourselves and others in the supply chain need to have some longer term certainty on what the levels really will be, and then that will help, I think, the industry in general start to reprice, different products and allow people to really understand what’s the most effective sourcing strategy for those components given, inflated price levels due to tariffs.
And once that is set, and I think there’s gonna be a much clearer path for us than others as to where are we investing domestically and what kind of opportunity do we see to bring business back in. But there are already discussions going on with key customers, in certain areas that that we think would be, an opportunity for us.
Susan Maklari, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Okay. That that’s great color. And then, you know, you’ve you’ve mentioned efforts to improve your service levels, reducing your lead times to customers. Guess, can you just talk a bit more about how you’re thinking of those projects that you’re taking on this year? Any change given the macro environment?
And anything we should be looking for as we think about just the path for margins this year over even in the back half relative to the weaker volumes that might come through?
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Yeah. So we’re we’re obviously we’re staying very close to the the volume reality and really going through different scenarios as we should to really try and understand what what our impact range is based on, volume scenarios given, tariff expectations and obviously then making assumptions on certain outcomes. As you look at our capital and what we’ve been doing to invest in in our strength in the foundation piece of the work we’ve been doing, you know, at least 50% of our CapEx is locked in to larger scoping projects that are really transforming our cost base in our domestic manufacturing. So that’s great news for us, and we’re starting to bring online one of our first large, investments, in Texas in the next couple of months, that we’ve released eighteen months ago. So some of these things are starting to take shape, and we feel that will give us a a pretty great opportunity to bring our cost to serve down.
However, with the softness in the market, and, you know, the short term uncertainty, we still are investing as we need to be in our footprint, which still is too large, and we need to optimize. And and some of these things are longer term projects that we don’t feel that we should be turning off because we wanna reap the long term benefit. There are other shorter term things where we’re shifting and reprioritizing as Samantha mentioned. But we feel very comfortable that we are absolutely on track with what we set out to do. We’ve always said we need fewer sites and we need to overinvest in those fewer sites.
And when the market volume turns, and it will, it’s a cyclical business, we know that, but we’re preparing ourselves and getting our service levels and our quality levels as well as the asset base up to speed, and that will give us, we believe, a very interesting upside, when the volumes turn. And that’s what we’re getting ready for and have been working on for the last two to three years.
Susan Maklari, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Okay. Thank you for all the color. Good luck with everything.
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Thank you, Susan. Thanks.
Kaila, Conference Operator: And your next question comes from the line of Matthew Bouley with Barclays. Your line is open. Good morning. You have Anika Dallakia on for Matt today. Thank you for taking the questions.
First off, I wanted to Hi. I wanted to talk on mix. So you mentioned that mix has stabilized this quarter. Wondering if you can parse out how much of that $39,000,000 volume mix headwind was volume versus mix and how you’d expect this to trend? I’m just wondering kind of if there’s a risk, maybe customers mixing down moving forward given a more pressured affordability backdrop?
Thanks.
Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: So the mix downturn is really what we experienced in 2024. And as you referenced, that was when we saw a significant shift to the, I would say, lower priced, more entry level products. We have not seen a significant mix change in 2025 thus far. So we expect to be at that lower level that we saw the transition happen in ’24. We expect to be at that lower level going into 2025.
So I would tell you the vast majority of what you’re seeing in terms of that volume mix decline is truly volume. We have not experienced any kind of significant downturn, as I said, as as we did last year.
Kaila, Conference Operator: Great. That’s super helpful. And then on the second question, just maybe on the timing of the tariff impact, how we should be thinking about that $30,000,000 flowing through 2Q versus second half? Thanks.
Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: So as Bill talked about, we
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: do
Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: intend to fully pass through that 30,000,000 in terms of the tariffs onto our customers. There is a, I would call, an immaterial difference of timing of when that takes effect in q two, but it is insignificant in the grand scheme of what we’re passing through. So I would expect that we’re gonna start to see the impact of the surcharges in q two, throughout the rest of the year. And, of course, that’s based on current levels, and, I think it’s anyone’s guess on where those will settle.
Kaila, Conference Operator: Great. Thank you. I’ll pass it on.
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Thanks, Alicia.
Kaila, Conference Operator: And your next question comes from the line of Trevor Allinson with Wolfe Research. Your line is open.
Trevor Allinson, Analyst, Wolfe Research: Hi, good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. Guys have previously talked about $50,000,000 of cost inflation with pricing. You’ve got the $30,000,000 incremental now with tariffs. You’ve expressed confidence in offsetting that portion.
Can you talk about your confidence in offsetting the $50,000,000 of non tariff inflation? And is 50,000,000 still a good number for us to use on that?
Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Yeah. So I think, Trevor, this is Samantha, it is still a good number to use in terms of, I would say, non tariff related input cost increases. We have seen, I would say, an over an overall softening in terms of the competitive overall softening of the market in terms of the competitive landscape, which is why we are focusing on not just price, but also how we can compete on service, quality, etcetera, which is why there’s significant investment in those areas. I do expect us to be slightly price cost negative this year, again, because of the challenging demand outlook. But I think in terms of your overall read, the cost input increases would be about the same.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: Okay. Got you.
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Makes a lot of sense.
Trevor Allinson, Analyst, Wolfe Research: And then second, when you guys announced the Tawanda divestiture, you gave a pretty wide range on both sales and EBITDA impact depending on how customer retention would go. I think the EBITDA range was like $25,000,000 to $50,000,000 Can you provide an update there to which end of that range are you gliding towards as you have some more visibility into customer retention? Thank you.
Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: So I would say on that standpoint, we are seeing slightly more towards the higher end of that range. It was a pretty broad range. You know, the what happened in terms of the last few weeks, the muted seasonal uptake, from q one, those are all factors that are playing out. But I would say, in general, we are expecting slightly to the higher end of that range.
Trevor Allinson, Analyst, Wolfe Research: Got it. Thank you for all the color and good luck moving forward.
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Thanks, Trevor.
Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Thanks, Trevor.
Kaila, Conference Operator: And your next question comes from the line of Jeffrey Stephenson with Loop Capital. Your line is open.
Jeffrey Stephenson, Analyst, Loop Capital: Hi, thanks for taking my questions today. Bill, one of your strategic priorities has been standardizing build specifications and processes across your manufacturing network. And I just wondered how far along are you in this initiative? And will it help drive further footprint consolidation in the future if needed?
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Yeah. So we’re making progress. There’s two things that we’re doing here at Jeffrey as we’ve talked in the past. One is really to optimize our cost to serve, and how we’re doing that is investing in pretty pretty significant automation in some of our door slab sites. And as I just mentioned on a prior question, we are just starting the first install on one of those systems, at a Texas facility.
So that’s coming along. Second thing that we’re working through now, obviously, based on tariffs and sourcing, we are, taking a very, hard look at our product complexity and working through optimization opportunities that we have to simplify our offering and to make sure we can get, the right product cost stack, in our doors and windows that meet customer expectations. So that’s a second topic. That’s more broader from a complexity reduction, but both of those are progressing according to plan. Think we’re further along on investing in automation and hence the the still elevated CapEx this year, but we feel comfortable with the progress we’re making on both of those fronts.
Jeffrey Stephenson, Analyst, Loop Capital: Okay. Great. And then could you provide more color on the new business ones you talked about with builder customers you saw from your recent collaboration efforts? And then some early successes maybe you’ve seen from increasing your production builder sales concentration from you know, Windows stock and service program, that you, implemented last year, Bill?
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Yes. So we’re making progress. As as we said in prepared remarks, we’re ahead of our, expectations for gaining new business. Again, that is acquisition of new business and not delivery of product. You’ve gotta think there’s a six to nine month window, between the book and the build, so to speak.
So we are we are making progress, and that’s one of the things that we really wanna get better at is utilizing the strength that we have on the interior door side of the house, and combine that with a window offering that meets expectations of some of the production builders that we’re developing relationships with. So we feel comfortable. But, again, this is what we’re seeing in a pipeline and not yet a dramatic materialization of that sales on the p and l, and that that’s still to come. But, again, as I also suggested in my, prepared remarks, the spring build season is pretty flat. So traffic for, new home builders is below expectations, I’d say, just in general.
Obviously, there’s pockets that are outliers in both directions, but in general, we’re not seeing the the rebound that we would expect. And, again, coming back to what do we think are are driving those, low traffic levels, its affordability and its interest rates, and then you add in the uncertainty of, tariffs and potential further cost increases, it it’s creating a challenging environment right now to make, you know, big ticket decisions, whether it be on a large window or, sliding door renovations or, purchasing new homes, which obviously pull through interior doors and exterior doors and windows.
Jeffrey Stephenson, Analyst, Loop Capital: Great. Thank you.
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Thanks, Jeffrey.
Kaila, Conference Operator: And your next question comes from the line of Steven Ramsey with Thompson Research. Your line is open.
Steven Ramsey, Analyst, Thompson Research: Good morning. Wanted to follow on to the topic of production builder wins. Clearly, at some point, this will be a volume benefit. My first question is, will this or is this expected to be a benefit in the second half? And then secondly, is this line of business going to be a mix headwind or tailwind or neutral?
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Hey. Good morning, Steven. Thanks for the question. So I’d say, yes, expect something in in in h two. It’ll small.
I’d say it’s not material in the grand scheme of things. More importantly for us, it’s really starting to cement the relationships where we’re selling systems into our builder partners and not just an interior door package. But, again, the builder volume that is currently tracking is at the lower end. As Samantha mentioned, there was a pretty significant mix down just in general in production builders last year, and we’re still seeing that this year. So what we’re acquiring is at a lower end, but we would expect that to materialize later in H2, but it won’t be material if you look at our overall earnings for this year.
Steven Ramsey, Analyst, Thompson Research: Okay. That’s helpful. Second question would be on the CapEx outlook. Looks like you’re holding that. Guess what would cause you to change your view on CapEx?
You made a great case for a lower footprint with more automation. But given this backdrop, are are there any benefits you see to pulling down the CapEx a bit? Or or another way to ask, how much flexibility do you have with your CapEx in 2025?
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Yes. So we we there’s definitely flexibility there, and we are taking a very a very targeted approach as really balancing the short term and the long term. A lot of the projects in the pipeline are obviously for the longer term transformation of our network, which are are materializing in different stages. So as we said, kind of above 50% of that spend is allocated to projects that are already in flight, and we’re sharpening our pencil, on everything else. If we do see, you know, things, develop in a very negative fashion back half of the year driven by, you know, further tariffs, shocks, uncertainties, clearly, we would be, reducing the CapEx spend.
And as Samantha mentioned, there’s other avenues that we’re actively looking at sale leaseback, asset sales to really make sure the balance sheet is very secure and to continue that, and we have a credit line that’s undrawn. We just wanna make sure that we are gonna win the long game, which is what we’ve always said we wanna do. So we are doing everything we can to continue funding those projects, and we still continue to do that given the environment. And, again, at our next call, you’ll hear more depending on how markets are developing and what the expectation is. But right now, we’re still pushing hard, on these projects, are important for the long term.
Steven Ramsey, Analyst, Thompson Research: Great. Thank you.
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: You’re welcome.
Kaila, Conference Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Mike Dahl with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: Hi, thanks for taking my questions.
Bill Christensen, Chief Executive Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Hi, Mike.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: First question, just drilling into 2Q a little bit. Look, if 2Q is only up slightly sequentially, I think your prior guide had implied that you were looking for something more like in the kind of $65,000,000 range for for two q EBITDA. Now we’re talking I I don’t know if we’re talking 25 or or 30. Maybe you can clarify that a little bit. But that’s a let’s call it, like, a $40,000,000 delta.
That that’s very meaningful. That would be, like, 15 to 20% of your entire prior fiscal year guide. So just help us break that down. If there’s no real net tariff impact there, it’s all kind of core market, help break down what what exactly changed. Maybe you’re like, give us an update on your market expectations.
I think you were down kinda like low to mid single digits for for new construction and r and r prior. What are you thinking about now? Help us drill down.
Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Hi, Mike. So when you think about q two and, you know, we’ve we’re we’re guiding directionally. We are not giving a specific range because, as Bill mentioned, those range of outcomes have really increased pretty sizably. So in terms of looking at how how we’re gonna land in q two, it really comes down to the sales. So back to the original, you know, conversation around what sales are going to do, we expect a pickup, but we expect a very muted pickup, which we had not expected it to be as muted as we saw going into q two and towards the end of q one.
So I think it comes down to that. Then you have essentially the flow through of that to the bottom line with the additional cost takeout that we’ve talked about. So I think you’re trying to frame up an exact guidance range, and the the the truth of the matter is we don’t know how the demand is gonna settle. So the tariff impact on our company, as Bill has stated, we feel very comfortable with how we’re positioned. It’s how the tariff impact is affecting the macroeconomic landscape in every other company.
And it’s really going to determine how things settle over the next few weeks as to where, you know, we the sales and demand outlook is positioned in q two.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: Okay. Understood. Fair enough. And then I guess, Samantha, just to follow-up on the response to Bill’s question. In terms of covenants, I I thought that your revolver does have restricted covenants.
And so you’re undrawn today, so you’re not subject to them. But look, like, it does seem like the credit metrics are gonna continue to deteriorate. I think you already expected limited operating cash this year and negative free cash flow. So to the extent you do need to draw on the revolver, can you just, help us understand those what the covenant levels are and how much is available to borrow at this point as you think about kind of the balance of the year?
Samantha Stoddard, Chief Financial Officer, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Yeah. So, you know, looking at the free cash flow metrics, the one thing that a lot of folks have not factored in is the inclusion of the proceeds from the Tawanda divestiture. So it you know, when you look at the free cash flow, you gotta add another, let’s call it, approximately hundred and $10,000,000 to that. The from a covenant standpoint, even on the revolver, are we do not have restrictive covenants. We’ve evaluated kind of every one of our debt instruments and where it comes across, and we do not see foresee any issues even if we are to draw on the revolver.
So, hopefully, that that addresses your question. I mean, we are positioned well, as I said, for for the foreseeable future. So this is something that we continue to invest in ourselves. We are seeing the benefits of that investment in terms of now multiple years of 100,000,000 annual cost out, and, you know, we we feel in a comfortable position. Keep in mind, right now, our revolving line of credit is up to $500,000,000 that we have not touched.
So, hopefully, that addresses your questions, but happy to answer anything else.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: Yeah. I appreciate that. We’ll follow-up offline. Thanks.
Kaila, Conference Operator: And there are no further questions at this time. James Armstrong, I’ll turn the call back over to you.
James Armstrong, Investor Relations, GelDwyn Holding, Inc.: Thank you for joining our call today. If you have any follow-up questions, please reach out, and I would be happy to answer. This ends our call, and please have a great day.
Kaila, Conference Operator: This concludes today’s conference call. You may now disconnect.
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