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Assets flat, Polish data, Hungarian central bank watched

Published 26/08/2014, 09:44
Updated 26/08/2014, 09:50
Assets flat, Polish data, Hungarian central bank watched

By Sandor Peto

BUDAPEST (Reuters) - Central European assets moved sideways on Tuesday, pausing ahead of key Polish economic data and a rate-setting central bank meeting in Hungary.

Regional assets, mainly bonds, firmed on Monday, tracking other European markets, helped by expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) may launch large-scale asset purchases.

Poland's government bond market remained in an upbeat mood on Tuesday, however, with the 10-year yield (PL10YT=RR) dropping 4 basis points to 3.04 percent.

The zloty (EURPLN=) firmed 0.07 percent against the euro, while Warsaw's main stock index (WIG) was flat.

Investors will be watching Polish retail sales figures due at 09:00 AM BST, which could confirm that domestic demand remains sluggish and underpin expectations for a rate cut by Poland's central bank.

Hungary's central bank holds its monthly rate-setting meeting on Tuesday and all but one out of 16 analysts in a Reuters poll forecast it would keep its 2.1 percent base rate on hold for the first time after 24 successive cuts.

The bank announced last month that it finished its rate cuts, but its statement due at 1300 will be still watched as some analysts think the bank could lower its rates if international market sentiment buoys the forint.

* *

**************** CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 0936 CET ************

************************* CURRENCIES *************************

Latest Previous Daily Change

bid close change in 2014

Czech crown (EURCZK=) 27.850 27.830 -0.07% -1.86%

Hungary forint (EURHUF=) 312.900 313.600 +0.22% -5.09%

Polish zloty (EURPLN=) 4.180 4.183 +0.07% -0.72%

Romanian leu (EURRON=) 4.398 4.396 -0.03% +1.42%

Croatian kuna (EURHRK=) 7.631 7.632 +0.01% -0.17%

Serbian dinar (EURRSD=) 117.700 117.720 +0.02% -2.72%

Note: daily change calculated from previous close at 1800 CET

**************************** STOCKS **************************

Latest Previous Daily Change

close change in 2014

Prague (PX) 993.75 995.02 -0.12% +0.69%

Budapest (BUX) 17857.99 17885.21 -0.15% -2.60%

Warsaw (WIG20) 2450.55 2449.80 +0.03% +1.92%

Bucharest (BETI) 7038.04 7042.40 -0.06% +8.65%

Ljubljana (SBITOP) 823.59 827.78 -0.51% +28.49%

Zagreb (CRBEX) 1852.40 1851.32 +0.06% +4.05%

Belgrade <.BELEX15> 0.00 625.00 +0.00% -100.0%

Sofia (SOFIX) 550.09 550.63 -0.10% +11.95%

***************************** BONDS **************************

Yield Yield Spread Daily

(bid) change vs Bund change in

Czech Republic spread

2-year (CZ2YT=RR) 0.175 -0.011 +020bps -1bps

5-year (CZ5YT=RR) 0.497 -0.012 +031bps -1bps

10-year (CZ10YT=RR) 1.291 -0.001 +035bps +1bps

Hungary

3-year (HU3YT=RR) 3.270 +0.010 +329bps +1bps

5-year (HU5YT=RR) 3.580 +0.000 +339bps +0bps

10-year (HU10YT=RR) 4.570 +0.020 +363bps +4bps

Poland

2-year (PL2YT=RR) 2.236 -0.010 +226bps -1bps

5-year (PL5YT=RR) 2.555 -0.026 +237bps -2bps

10-year (PL10YT=RR) 3.054 -0.036 +212bps -2bps

******************* FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS ******************

3x6 6x9 9x12 3M interbank

Czech Rep 0.350 0.360 0.360 0.35

Hungary 2.240 2.300 2.380 2.14

Poland 2.220 2.090 2.090 2.63

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices

**************************************************************

(Reporting by Reuters buros; editing by David Clarke)

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