Black Friday is Now! Don’t miss out on up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

IMF's Vinals says economic outlook at risk of downgrade

Published 16/10/2014, 11:49
© Reuters Vinals speaks at a news conference about global financial stability prior to the annual IMF-World Bank fall meetings in Washington

LONDON (Reuters) - The world's economic recovery is weak and some assets are still overpriced, a senior International Monetary Fund official said on Thursday.

"The global economic recovery is really mediocre and subject to downgrade risk. We have been downgrading our economic forecasts for the past five years," Jose Vinals, director of monetary and capital markets at the IMF, told the British Bankers' Association annual conference.

"There are many markets where assets are now slightly overpriced. You don't find anything that's grossly out of line, grossly super-valued or over-valued but you see many little discrepancies across many markets regarding valuations," Vinals said.

Stock markets across the world have tumbled in recent days after data in China and the United States fanned fears the world economy could be even weaker than thought.

Turning to banks, Vinals said lenders were facing a "low profitability" problem in many parts of the world, with banks struggling to adapt their business models.

He said an IMF study of 300 of the largest banks showed only about 60 percent had a structure that was able to make a reasonable rate of return over time to be able to build capital and support new lending.

Only about 30 percent of eurozone banks could meet that requirement, compared to about 80 percent in the United States, Vinals said.

© Reuters. Vinals speaks at a news conference about global financial stability prior to the annual IMF-World Bank fall meetings in Washington

Following a "major regulatory revolution", banks now needed certainty and Vinals urged politicians to keep up the momentum to complete the job so that banks have that certainty to adapt their business models.

(Reporting by Huw Jones, Steve Slater and Matt Scuffham)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.