Black Friday is Now! Don’t miss out on up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Britain needs growth reforms to complement BoE Brexit policy - El-Erian says

Published 16/08/2016, 08:25
© Reuters. Pedestrians walk past the Bank of England in the City of London
ALVG
-

LONDON (Reuters) - Britain must complement the Bank of England's post-Brexit vote stimulus with a concerted government attempt to foster growth or risk unsettling volatility in financial markets, Allianz (DE:ALVG) economist Mohamed El-Erian said, the Financial Times reported.

The Bank of England cut interest rates to 0.25 percent on Aug. 4 and unleashed tens of billions of pounds worth of bond-buying in an attempt to ease the economic shock from Britain's June 23 vote to leave the EU.

"The BoE is forced to go to extremes to buy time until [Prime Minister] Theresa May's government formulates a comprehensive policy response," El-Erian said in a comment piece in the FT under the headline "BoE bond-buying need not end badly for markets".

El-Erian, chief economic adviser to Europe's largest insurer, said that ultimately the Bank's policies were prompting a generalised cascade of declining yields that had amplified as it spread to longer maturity bonds.

"But these investment gains come at a cost to the system as a whole; and it is a cost that could turn out to be considerable if the government does not follow through with policies that promote high inclusive growth," El-Erian said.

"These include structural reforms, a more balanced fiscal stance, agreeing with the EU a new free trade agreement and helping lead the way on better global policy co-ordination."

El-Erian said advanced economies such as Britain's were not designed to operate for long on ultra-low interest rates, which together with the associated flattening of the yield curve, made it hard for long-term financial services to operate and hit bank earnings.

He said ultra-low yields, if expected to persist for a long time, can encourage households and companies to disengage from the financial system and thus worsen the economic slowdown.

"If the government fails to implement proper policies, it increases the threat of unsettling volatility in other segments of the financial markets that, for now, have been beneficially influenced by lower British interest rates — be they stocks, high-yield bonds or emerging markets," El-Erian said.

© Reuters. Pedestrians walk past the Bank of England in the City of London

Last month, Chancellor Philip Hammond said Britain could reset fiscal policy if necessary, though he gave no further details.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.