Black Friday is Now! Don’t miss out on up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

ECB must raise rates decisively; let bonds expire from start of 2023, Nagel says

Published 18/11/2022, 13:05
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel in Koenigswinter, near Bonn, Germany May 20, 2022. REUTERS/Benjamin Westhoff/File Photo

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - The European Central Bank must continue to raise interest rates decisively and should start letting its oversized holding of government debt expire from the start of 2023, Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said on Friday.

The ECB has already raised rates by 200 basis points in three steps this year and put a string of further moves on the table as inflation is now running well into double digits with little hope of a return to its 2% target for years.

"We must resolutely raise our key rates further and adopt a restrictive stance," Nagel, a powerful conservative, or policy hawk, said in a speech. "We cannot stop here. Further decisive steps are necessary."

At 1.5%, the ECB's deposit rate is at the lower end of the commonly accepted, 1.5% to 2% range for the "neutral rate," where it is neither stimulating nor restricting growth.

Markets see a move to 2% in December, then a further rises towards 3% by next spring.

Complementing rate hikes, the ECB needs to start running down the trillion of euros worth of government debt it hoovered up over the past decade, when inflation was still too low.

"We should start reducing the size of our bond holdings at the beginning of next year by no longer fully reinvesting all maturing bonds," Nagel said.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel in Koenigswinter, near Bonn, Germany May 20, 2022. REUTERS/Benjamin Westhoff/File Photo

The ECB holds around 5 trillion euros worth of bonds and said it would start talks in December on how and when to run down the 3.3 trillion euros in its Asset Purchase Programme.

Speaking earlier on Friday, ECB chief Christine Lagarde said this run off should be "measured and predictable", a comment suggesting that the decision is about the terms of the wind down and not whether it was necessary.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.