Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Japan February consumer prices edge higher, still a worry for BOJ

Published 22/03/2018, 23:59
Updated 22/03/2018, 23:59
© Reuters. A woman walks out of a shopping mall in Tokyo

By Stanley White

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan's core consumer prices edged higher in February from a year earlier, but the slow pace of gains suggests the Bank of Japan will need to maintain its ultra-easy monetary policy for some time yet.

The nationwide core consumer price index, which includes oil products but excludes volatile fresh food costs, rose 1.0 percent in February from a year earlier, matching the median estimate of economists in a Reuters poll.

With the effects of volatile fresh food and energy costs stripped out, prices rose an annual 0.5 percent in February, following a 0.4 percent annual increase in January, the data showed.

Consumer prices are likely to continue to grind higher thanks to a tight labour market and modestly rising wages, but yen appreciation threatens to lower import prices, which will keep the BOJ on the lookout for any risks to the positive price trend.

Higher prices for gasoline, kerosene, and utilities were the biggest contributors to the rise in core CPI in February, the data showed.

Excluding these items, gains in CPI were driven by a modest rise in hotel and lodging costs.

The narrower measure of CPI, which excludes fresh food and energy, has been rising at a more subdued pace, highlighting the impact oil and gasoline prices have on broader measures of CPI.

Big Japanese companies agreed last week at annual negotiations with labour unions to raise wages for a fifth year. This should help support consumer spending and inflation, but many companies likely fell short of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's goal of increasing wages by 3 percent or more.

Japan's unemployment rate is also at a 25-year low of 2.4 percent, which in theory should encourage inflation by putting upward pressure on wages as companies compete for workers.

In practice, however, consumer prices have risen more slowly than the Bank of Japan expected.

The BOJ is at a crossroads because it has been pursuing radical quantitative easing for almost five years with only mixed results, because prices are still some distance from the central bank's 2 percent inflation target.

© Reuters. A woman walks out of a shopping mall in Tokyo

Governor Haruhiko Kuroda was approved last year for a second five-year term. Two new deputy governors also join the central bank's leadership team, but there is uncertainty about how the BOJ will respond if prices do not accelerate.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.