Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

'Alive and kicking' - German economy shifts into higher gear

Published 14/08/2018, 08:23
Updated 14/08/2018, 08:23
© Reuters. The 'Europacity' construction site is pictured in Berlin

By Michael Nienaber

BERLIN (Reuters) - The German economy picked up more steam than expected in the second quarter, driven by higher household and state spending, suggesting that Europe's biggest economy is powering ahead despite trade-related business uncertainties.

Gross domestic product expanded by 0.5 percent quarter-on-quarter, the Federal Statistics Office said on Tuesday. That compared with a Reuters forecast of 0.4 percent.

The office also revised up the quarterly growth rate for the first three months of the year to 0.4 percent from 0.3 percent.

"Despite all of the prophecies of doom, the upswing is not only alive; it's also kicking," Bankhaus Lampe economist Alexander Krueger said.

"For the time being, the upswing is unlikely to be stalled by the global trade dispute or overheating."

But the conflict with the United States over tariffs is clouding the outlook for the second half, Krueger said.

On the year, the German economy grew by 2.0 percent from April to June, calendar-adjusted data showed. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a 2.1 percent expansion.

The Statistics Office said economic growth was mainly driven by higher household spending and increased state consumption. Additional impetus came from investments.

STRONG IMPORTS

Exports also grew but were outperformed by even stronger imports growth, suggesting that net trade did not contribute to overall economic growth, the office said.

The figures underpin a gradual shift in the German economy away from its traditionally export-oriented growth model towards a more domestically driven upturn propelled by record-high employment, rising wages and booming construction.

"Contrary to the national football team, the German economy did not have a rude awakening at the start of the summer," ING analyst Carsten Brzeski said. "Instead, the economy has returned as an outperformer of the euro zone."

A second estimate of second-quarter euro zone economic growth will be released later in the day. Preliminary figures last month showed growth slowed to 0.3 percent quarter-on-quarter.

Following the stronger-than-expected German growth figures, it is possible that euro zone GDP may also be revised up, Jessica Hinds of Capital Economics said.

A separate release from the German statistics office showed that consumer inflation, harmonised to make it comparable with other euro zone data, remained at 2.1 percent on the year in July.

© Reuters. The 'Europacity' construction site is pictured in Berlin

It was the third month in a row that German headline inflation exceeded the European Central Bank's price stability target of close to but just below 2 percent for the whole bloc.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.