Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious OutperformanceFind Stocks Now

Asian business sentiment edges up to hit seven-year high - Thomson Reuters/INSEAD

Published 19/06/2018, 07:51
Updated 19/06/2018, 08:00
© Reuters. A building of a closed steel factory is pictured in Tangshan

(This March 21 story removes incorrect statement in last paragraph that the auto sector matched its highest reading ever.)

By Byron Kaye

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Business confidence among Asian companies rose in the first quarter to the highest level in seven years, a Thomson Reuters/INSEAD survey showed, as a fresh surge by the Chinese economy offset concerns about rising trade barriers.

The Thomson Reuters/INSEAD Asian Business Sentiment Index , representing the six-month outlook of 67 firms, advanced one notch to 79 for the January-March quarter compared with three months before.

A reading above 50 indicates a positive outlook.

"The improvement is not dramatic but with a historical perspective this is a good reading," said Antonio Fatas, a Singapore-based economics professor at global business school INSEAD.

Thailand, the Philippines and Malaysia saw robust jumps in sentiment, showing that many countries in Asia continue to benefit from accelerating global growth. In particular, China has seen exports soar, up 45 percent in February to mark their fastest growth in three years.

(PDF of survey - tmsnrt.rs/2HMxYCl)

(Graphic: Business sentiment index - tmsnrt.rs/2G9OZJs)

(Graphic: Biggest perceived risks - tmsnrt.rs/2G77AGg)

"China ... has escaped the fear of a crisis that started back in 2016 and that's why you see strong confidence. Imbalances persist but there is no real threat of a crisis over the short term," said Fatas.

The subindex for Thailand surged to 100 from 85 and the Philippines saw a climb to 83 from 70 while sentiment in Malaysia improved five notches to 75.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

"The tourism and export sector expansion will help drive growth (in Thailand) this year," said Rattham Somboonchareon, a planning manager at survey respondent Thai Airways (BK:THAI), adding that government spending was also a key driver of growth.

Australia's subindex dropped to 80 from 92, although the figure is relatively high when compared with its historical average of 69.

While the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank have raised their global growth forecasts for this year due to strong trade, consumer spending, and investment in many major economies, intensifying rhetoric in favour of protectionism has become a major concern.

U.S. President Donald Trump has announced import tariffs on steel and aluminium, and is expected to consider additional tariffs targeted specifically at China. He has also repeatedly said the U.S. free-trade deal with South Korea is "unfair" and has threatened to scrap it altogether on multiple occasions.

That has battered sentiment in South Korea, with the country's subindex plunging to 50 from 83.

"There is a sense among Korean businesses that Trump will continue to be aggressive against their country," said Fatas.

Singapore's subindex declined to 75 from 79. The country's exports took a surprise dip in February as tech product shipments continued to retreat from the hot pace of recent months.

Japan, where consumer spending numbers have been subdued, recorded its lowest reading in a year, at 67 compared to the fourth-quarter's 70. India also experienced a decline in sentiment, falling to 72 from 79.

The index for sentiment in China increased to 88 from 83, but the number of respondents was low at four companies.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Increasing trade friction and higher interest rates were cited as the biggest concerns in the Thomson Reuters/INSEAD survey.

By industry, the technology, construction, energy and metals sectors expressed concern about trade friction, showed the survey, which was conducted March 2-16.

Sectors which identified rising interest rates as a risk included the energy, real estate, retail and technology sectors. The energy sector also showed concern about the potential for a sudden asset price correction.

The retail and leisure sector recorded its best ever reading. Healthcare had its highest score in two years.

Note: Companies surveyed can change from quarter to quarter.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.