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Stifel raises P&G target to $167, maintains Hold rating

Published 22/11/2024, 19:04
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On Friday, Stifel, a financial services company, updated its outlook on Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG), increasing the price target to $167 from $165 while keeping a Hold rating on the stock. The adjustment follows a recent investor meeting held by the consumer goods giant in Cincinnati, Ohio.

The company reiterated its financial guidance for fiscal year 2025, aiming for 3%-5% organic sales growth and 5%-7% core earnings per share (EPS) growth. However, the firm has slightly lowered its fiscal year 2025-2026 estimates, taking into account the impact of recent foreign exchange movements. Despite this, Stifel sees the risk/reward balance as fair at the current level, which led to the price target being raised to $167, based on 17 times the fiscal year 2026 estimated earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).

Procter & Gamble has kept its long-term strategy, which aims for organic sales growth above market trends and mid-to-high single-digit core EPS growth. This implies an expected margin expansion of 50-70 basis points. The company's approach is designed to maximize shareholder returns through a balance of sales growth and profitability.

The growth strategy of Procter & Gamble incorporates five key choices: portfolio, superiority, productivity, constructive disruption, and an empowered, agile organization. These elements are intended to expand markets and facilitate the company's profitable growth, which is expected to be achieved with modest profit leverage on sales.

In other recent news, Procter & Gamble reported a stable first quarter, marked by a 2% increase in organic sales, primarily driven by volume growth and pricing strategies. The company's strong performance in North America and Europe played a significant role in these results, despite a 15% decline in organic sales in the Greater China region. Procter & Gamble remains committed to its fiscal year 2025 guidance for organic sales growth between 3% and 5%.

Piper Sandler maintained a Neutral stance on Procter & Gamble, with a consistent price target of $174. The firm's analysis, following the company's investor day, highlighted Procter & Gamble's business strategies, including investments in marketing and innovation, and cost savings initiatives aimed at growing margins.

These recent developments indicate Procter & Gamble's focus on supporting the top line through increased marketing efforts and innovation, alongside cost-saving measures to protect and increase profit margins. The company plans to return $16-17 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Despite uncertainties regarding the company's 12-month outlook, Piper Sandler expressed a positive view on Procter & Gamble's long-term growth trajectory.

InvestingPro Insights

Procter & Gamble's recent investor meeting and Stifel's updated outlook align with several key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market cap stands at an impressive $416.25 billion, reflecting its position as a prominent player in the Household Products industry. This status is further reinforced by an InvestingPro Tip highlighting P&G's role as a leading force in its sector.

The company's commitment to shareholder returns is evident in its dividend history. An InvestingPro Tip reveals that P&G has raised its dividend for 41 consecutive years, demonstrating a strong track record of rewarding investors. This aligns with the company's strategy to maximize shareholder returns, as mentioned in the article.

P&G's current P/E ratio of 29.8 and its trading near its 52-week high suggest investor confidence in the company's performance and future prospects. This sentiment is supported by the company's reiterated financial guidance and long-term strategy outlined in the investor meeting.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips on Procter & Gamble, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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