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Novartis shares reiterate outperform rating ahead of EU antitrust approval

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 25/11/2024, 14:30
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On Monday, BMO Capital maintained a positive stance on Novartis (LON:0QLR) (NYSE: NVS) shares, reiterating an Outperform rating and a $156.00 price target.

The endorsement comes as Novo Holdings is reportedly on the verge of receiving EU antitrust approval for its significant $16.5 billion acquisition of Catalent (NYSE:CTLT). This strategic move is anticipated to further Novo Nordisk (NYSE:NVO)'s manufacturing capabilities, with plans to purchase three fill-finish sites from Catalent at a cost of $11 billion.

Investors have been closely monitoring the progress of the transaction, which is expected to be finalized by the end of the year. The acquisition is seen as a pivotal step for Novo in continuing its rapid expansion in manufacturing. The addition of these new sites will substantially enhance Novo's global fill-finish network, marking a notable extension of its operations beyond Denmark.

The deal's progression is seen as largely positive for Novartis shares. The successful close of this transaction by year's end is a focal point for investors, as it promises to bolster Novo's manufacturing presence internationally. However, the final hurdle for the deal's completion lies with US regulators, whose approval remains the last major unknown in securing a year-end close for the agreement.

In other recent news, Novartis AG (SIX:NOVN) reported a robust third quarter performance for 2024, with sales increasing by 10% and core operating income rising by 20% in constant currency terms. This strong performance has led to the company raising its financial guidance for the third time this year.

Key drivers of this success include the FDA approval of Kisqali for early breast cancer and the accelerated approval of Fabhalta for IgA nephropathy. Furthermore, Novartis is gearing up for the launch of Pluvicto in metastatic prostate cancer, which is projected to triple the number of eligible patients.

Novartis anticipates a 5% sales growth from 2023 to 2028, despite potential headwinds from generics and pricing pressures. The company remains optimistic about its future, projecting a core operating income margin of over 40% by 2027.

However, currency fluctuations are expected to negatively impact net sales and core operating income, with a 1% negative impact on net sales and a 3% to 4% decrease in core operating income for 2024 if late-October exchange rates persist.

Investors and stakeholders are keenly awaiting the upcoming investor meeting in London for further insights into Novartis's growth trajectory and strategic initiatives. This comes as part of the recent developments surrounding the company.

InvestingPro Insights

As Novartis navigates the evolving pharmaceutical landscape, recent InvestingPro data offers valuable insights into the company's financial health. Novartis boasts a robust market capitalization of $208.04 billion, underlining its significant presence in the industry. The company's P/E ratio of 12.01 suggests that investors are paying a reasonable price for its earnings, which could be attractive in light of BMO Capital's Outperform rating.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Novartis's strong profitability, with a gross profit margin of 75.83% for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. This impressive figure indicates the company's efficiency in manufacturing and selling its products, which could be further enhanced by industry developments such as Novo's potential acquisition of Catalent's fill-finish sites.

Additionally, Novartis has demonstrated solid revenue growth of 8.92% over the same period, aligning with the positive outlook expressed in the article. This growth trajectory, combined with a dividend yield of 2.33%, may appeal to investors seeking both growth and income.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 18 additional tips for Novartis, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial position and future prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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