Colin Lloyd

Canary in the coal-mine - Emerging market contagion Emerging market currencies, bonds and stocks have weakened Fears about the impact of US tariffs have been felt here most clearly The risk to Europe...

The yield spread between 10yr BTPs and Bunds widened 114bp in May Populist and anti-EU politics were the catalyst for this repricing of risk Spain, Portugal and Greece all saw yields increase as Bund...

UK productivity - output/hour has risen 1.5% in a decade UK unemployment, at 4.2%, is the lowest since April 1975 UK real wages have risen by 1.1% per annum over the last four years Robots may be...

Inflation or Employment Inflationary fears are growing and US rates continue to rise Employment has become more flexible since the crisis of 2008/2009 Commodity prices have risen but from multi-year...

The Federal Reserve continues to tighten and other Central Banks will follow The BIS expects stocks to lose their lustre and bond yields to rise The normalisation process will be protracted, like the...

In the long run stocks outperform bonds For a decade stocks, bonds and real estate have risen in tandem The risk of a substantial correction is high Value-based equity investment is unfashionably...

Rising interest rates and inflation are spooking financial markets Unemployment data suggests that labour markets are tight Central Banks will have to respond to a collapse in the three asset...

A safe place to hide – inflation and the bond marketsUS bond yields have risen from historic lows, they should rise further, they may not The Federal Reserve is beginning to reduce its balance...

A warning knell from the housing market – inciting a riot? Global residential real estate prices continue to rise but momentum is slowing Prices in Russia continue to fall but Australian house...

The risk of a correction in the equity bull market Rising commodity prices, including oil, are feeding through to PPI Unemployment data suggests wages may begin to rise faster Federal Reserve...