The pound continued to weaken against the dollar for the fifth day in a row as Brexit concerns weighed on the currency. However, the pound held its ground against the euro which is facing its own set of problems with mounting concerns over the state of Italy’s economy.
Normally the weaker pound would have helped some major FTSE companies gain ground but instead the FTSE index weakened amid a general worsening of the market mood with trade concerns and Brexit worries lingering in the background.
Developers promise good growth despite a slowdown in housing market
A day after shares of property companies were hammered in London they staged a surprising turnaround as two large companies forecast solid profits in the future despite what they called 'a non-functioning housing market.'
Residential property company Barratt Development reached record high profits this financial year as it completed a high number of houses and flats. The firm’s pretax profit was up 9.2% and despite an overall slowdown in the UK housing market it is looking comfortably ahead saying it expects to grow by between 3% and 5% in the medium term.
Similarly its peer Berkeley Group (LON:BKGH) expects to earn pretax profit of at least £3.38 billion over five years to 2021, of which £1.58 billion till April 2019. The slowdown in house price growth has not been equally distributed across the UK. Most regions are actually still robust except for London where high transaction costs, multiple limits on mortgage borrowing and Brexit-related economic uncertainty are constraining growth.
Miners trade lower as metal prices continue to slide
Mining companies are among the top losers in the FTSE this morning with gold and metal prices continuing their recent trend of declines. Anglo American (LON:AAL) shares have dropped 1.9% while BHP Billiton (LON:BLT) and Fresnillo (LON:FRES) are both trading down 1.56%.
The percolating China-US trade war is keeping metal prices under pressure but the bigger blow to prices is coming from China’s industrial and manufacturing numbers which continue to slide. China makes up around a half of the total global metals demand and any slowdown in the country’s economic activity is immediately felt in metals prices.
Barratt Developments (LON:BDEV)
Much of Barratt's headline numbers were already out so today's update was all about current trading and the company hasn't disappointed.
Forward sales are tracking ahead of last year and net private reservations are holding firm.
Barratt's new medium-term growth targets could go some way to soothing investor fears that the party for British house builders is about to come to and end.
The government hasn't given clear guidance about what will happen to Help to Buy post 2021 and interest rates are set to inch higher, pressuring demand for mortgages.
But interest rates are nevertheless still near record lows and it's hard to see the government ending Help to Buy suddenly, with no gradual wind back for the industry.
Whatever happens on the policy front, Barratt has at least positioned itself to weather storms with a healthy net cash balance.
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