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Daily Technical FX: GBP/USD Bounce Continues

Published 12/03/2018, 13:07
EUR/USD
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GBP/USD
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USD/JPY
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USD/CHF
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AUD/USD
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EUR/GBP
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USD/CAD
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EUR/CHF
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EUR/USD Sideway moves maintained

EURUSD Chart

EUR/USD is maintained at the 1.2330 range following recent decline from 1.2446 high. Hourly support and resistance are given at 1.2112 (12/01/2018 low) and 1.2475 (31/01/2018 high). The technical structure suggests further short-term sideway moves.

In the longer term, the momentum is turning largely positive. We favor a continued bullish bias. Key resistance is holding at 1.2886 (15/10/2014 high) while strong support lies at 1.1554 (08/11/2017 low).

GBP/USD Bounce continues

GBPUSD Chart

GBP/USD continues its recovery phase following its descent at 1.3782, currently trading at the 1.3820 range. The pair is trading between hourly support and resistance at 1.3678 (12/01/2018 low) and 1.3945 (19/01/2018 high). The technical structure suggests short-term increase.

The long-term technical pattern is reversing. The Brexit vote had paved the way for further decline but the pair is moving to 2016 highs. Long-term support and resistance are given at 1.1841 (07/10/2017 low) and 1.5018 (24/06/2016 high).

USD/JPY Approaching resistance at 107.27

USDJPY Chart

USD/JPY sharp rise comes back, heading higher along the 106.70 range. Hourly support and resistance are given at 104.97 (11/10/2016 high) and 107.27 (25/02/2018 high). The bearish pattern started in January 2018 is maintained. The short-term technical structure suggests short-term increase.

We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support remains at 101.20 (09/11/2016 low). A gradual rise toward the major resistance at 125.86 (05/06/2015 high) seems unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 101.20 (09/11/2016 low). The pair trades largely below its 200 DMA.

USD/CHF Increasing further

USDCHF Chart

USD/CHF continues its increase after breaking hourly resistance at 0.9520 (24/01/2018) and approaching the 0.9560 range. The pair currently trades between hourly support and resistance at 0.9296 (05/02/2018 low) and 0.9559 (24/01/2018 high). Expected to show short-term increase.

In the long-term, the pair is still trading in range since 2011 despite some turmoil when the SNB unpegged the CHF. Key support lies at 0.9072 (07/05/2015 low) while resistance at 1.0344 (15/12/2016 high) is distanced. The technical structure favours a long term bullish bias since the unpeg in January 2015.

USD/CAD Consolidation

USDCAD Chart

USD/CAD buying pressures slow down, stabilized along the 1.2815 range. The pair is contained between hourly support and resistance at 1.2668 (26/02/2018 low) and 1.3015 (05/07/2018 high). The short-term technical structure suggests further short-term sideway moves.

In the longer term, the pair is trading between resistance point at 1.3805 (05/05/2017 high) and support at 1.2128 (18/06/2015 low). Strong resistance is given at 1.4690 (22/01/2016 high). The pair is likely to head lower. The pairs is trading above its 200 DMA.

AUD/USD Testing resistance at 0.7879

AUDUSD Chart

AUD/USD is recovery phase continues, approaching resistance at 0.7879 (21/02/2018 high). Hourly support is given at 0.7879 (21/02/2018 high). Further support and resistance are given at 0.7638 (15/12/2018 low) and 0.7999 (17/01/2018 high). The technical structure suggests short-term upward moves.

In the long-term, the upward trend slows down after failing to reach key resistance at 0.8164 (14/05/2015 low). Key support stands at 0.6009 (31/10/2008 low). A break of the key resistance at 0.8164 (14/05/2015 high) is needed to invalidate our long-term bearish view.

EUR/GBP Consolidation continues

EURGBP Chart

EUR/GBP is trading sideway at the 0.89 range. Hourly support and resistance are given at 0.8883 (13/11/2017 low) and 0.8982 (28/11/2017 high). The technical structure suggests shortterm sideway moves.

In the long-term, the pair has largely recovered from 2015 lows. The technical structure suggests further upside pressure. Strong resistance can be found at 0.9500 (psychological level) while support remains at 0.8304 (05/12/2016 low). The pair is trading above its 200 DMA.

EUR/CHF Rising

EURCHF Chart

EUR/CHF bullish momentum is maintained, approaching hourly resistance at 1.1763 (03/01/2018 high). Hourly support remains at 1.1659 (06/12/2017 low). The technical structure suggests further short-term increase.

In the longer term, the technical structure has reversed. Strong resistance is given at 1.20 (level before the unpeg). Yet, the ECB's slowing QE program is likely to cause buying pressures on the euro, which should weigh in favour of the EUR/CHF. Support can be found at 1.0234 (20/04/2015 low).

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