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Market Brief: Another Positive Month In The Bag, Why Spoil It?

Published 29/11/2019, 17:28
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Stock market snapshot as of [29/11/2019 3:50 pm]

  • European shares are trying to shake off the jitters that robbed key Asia Pacific markets of a positive closing session for the month. The DAX edged back into a second attempt at positive trading as Wall Street business got underway. Likewise, U.S. participants, returning after Thursday’s Thanksgiving holiday closure, look to be of in a similar mood, judging by stock index futures that swung off lows into the cash session. That move was not enough for cash markets to open higher
  • Throughout Europe’s latest slowdown, there have been seams of positivity, with growth, or at least stability, persisting in places. More data of that ilk on Friday provided a fillip to the region’s shares and the euro. Chiefly, Germany’s jobs market surprised to the upside in November, with 16,000 leaving the unemployment register instead of the 6,000 joiners expected. With October unemployment ticking down to 9.7%, the promising jobless count bodes well for a further drop in the percentage. This follows Thursday data showing Germany’s CPI remaining unexpectedly positive this month
  • Tough to see much aversion in price action so far. US and Eurozone benchmark yields manage to add the odd basis point or two, though gold is bid.
  • Oil has yet to get up off the floor after this week’s U.S. inventory print showed an eye-popping build
  • After Beijing’s warning that it would retaliate against the new U.S. bill that supports Hong Kong’s pro-democracy campaigners, proceedings have a little edge. Note a tiny uptick in the CBOE VIX Volatility gauge. A lack of detail as to what China’s response might be—if anything substantive—is another reason for stock markets to hold back. With a positive month in the bag, there’s less incentive to risk fresh long positions on its last trading day

Stocks/sectors on the move

  • The low-risk proxy of the Utilities sector wins the most flows in Europe and on Wall Street, though there was also a stock-specific driver on Friday (see below). The only other S&P 500 segment in the black was similarly staid Real Estate. Energy was deepest into negative. A little more of a mixed contribution from major European industrial segments: technology and Health Care were also just about aloft
  • Carl Zeiss Meditech was a key EU health aggregate driver, hitting an all-time high and last up 2.6%. Strong operating leverage offers the chance of a margin upgrade according to one brokerage, ahead of earnings next Friday
  • Micro Focus, Britain’s beleaguered ‘legacy’ software group, rose 1% after a filing showed BlackRock (NYSE:BLK) increasing its stake to 6.5% from 6.2%
  • Ocado (LON:OCDO) has surged 15%-12% on a deal with Japan's biggest grocer, Aeon. As per other international deals, OCDO will supply logistics and know-how to help develop Aeon's e-commerce operations, as internet food shopping takes off in Japan
  • E.ON, German-based multi-national, multi-utility, rose 4%. There’s no gain to celebrate for UK employees of the group’s Npower unit, where thousands of jobs will be axed. E.ON also raised guidance based on benefits from this year’s Innogy acquisition, though net debt has surged €23bn since end-2018
  • No great shakes for U.S. traditional retailers on Black Friday so far, particularly with Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) showing signs of yet more records in its key season. Macy’s traded down 0.5%, Nordstrom lost 0.9%, Best Buy rose 2%. Amazon was flat

Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient.

Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warrant that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, the author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does the author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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