Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Recession-hit Greece projects return to strong growth in 2017

Published 21/11/2016, 17:52
Updated 21/11/2016, 18:01
© Reuters. Greek Alternate Finance Minister George Chouliarakis submits the 2017 budget to parliament speaker Nikos Voutsis in Athens

By Lefteris Papadimas

ATHENS (Reuters) - Greece expects its economy to exit recession and return to growth next year, driven by private demand and new investment, and vowed in its 2017 budget to continue fiscal efforts to emerge from a lengthy crisis.

The economic downturn has wiped out 25 percent of national output since 2008, with a string of recessionary quarters interrupted only by a hiatus of marginal growth in 2014.

For next year, authorities predicted a 2.7 percent economic expansion, supported by the trickle-down impact of bailout cash inflows and resurgent private demand.

The budget, submitted to parliament for approval, projected a primary surplus - the fiscal balance excluding debt servicing costs - of 2 percent of GDP next year, compared to an above- target 1.1 percent of output in 2016.

Greece signed up to an international bailout deal, its third since 2010, in July last year. It has received about 240 billion euros in bailout loans so far, and is the most indebted country in the euro zone. One in four Greek workers is unemployed.

Gross domestic product is expected to contract by 0.3 percent this year.

The national debt will be equivalent to 176.5 percent of GDP in 2017, according to the budget, nearly four points lower than this year.

Athens will miss its privatisation revenue target of 2.5 billion euros in 2016, raising roughly 500 million euros. It sees revenues of 2.03 billion euros next year, mainly from the sale of regional airports and gas grid operator DESFA, and from the lease of the former Athens Hellenikon airport.

Parliament is expected to debate and take a vote on the budget in early December.

Unemployment is projected to fall slightly, to 22.6 percent from 23.7 percent this year, which is more than double the euro zone average.

The European Union and the International Monetary Fund are still at odds over the primary surplus Greece can retain beyond 2018, with the IMF insisting that a 3.5 percent target is "unrealistic" without significant debt relief.

Representatives of the lenders arrived in Athens last week to discuss unpopular labour reforms and fiscal targets as part of the country's second bailout review.

Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras wants the review wrapped-up before a Dec. 5 meeting of euro zone finance ministers in Brussels. That may help Athens qualify for the ECB's quantitative easing programme and return to bond markets by the end of 2017, government officials have said.

Tsipras hopes these developments can help convince austerity-hit Greeks that their sacrifices are paying off.

© Reuters. Greek Alternate Finance Minister George Chouliarakis submits the 2017 budget to parliament speaker Nikos Voutsis in Athens

"A debt restructuring and a return to capital markets ... will be a first step towards exiting supervision," government spokesman Dimitris Tzanakopoulos told Skai TV.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.